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Prediction markets for Third

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Jan 24, 4:35 AMNov 8, 6:32 AM

19%chance

368182945

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2566

1119

Trump tries to serve a third term?

Mar 31, 11:44 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

23.99%chance

38787944

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1688

650

Will Trump get a third term in office?

Jan 21, 7:45 PMJan 29, 5:59 AM

5.53%chance

7625670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4134

242

Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?

Nov 13, 3:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.09%chance

5918628

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1967

1813

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

Dec 5, 3:12 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

60.01%chance

6216639

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1225

817

If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?

Feb 19, 4:18 AMNov 9, 5:59 AM

59.47%chance

838387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1211

825

Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)

Apr 1, 6:20 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

5.28%chance

286881

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4237

236

Poll says more than 50% of Republicans OK with Trump third term?

Mar 20, 7:16 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

54.55%chance

715371

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1143

862

Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?

Feb 25, 5:04 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

31.28%chance

284976

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

785

Will a third-party candidate win the US presidency by 2040?

Nov 6, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.15%chance

904789

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1595

1510

Will a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?

Jan 21, 10:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.42%chance

322488

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

988

Will Patrick Rothfuss finish writing the third book of the Kingkiller Chronicles by 2030?

Feb 12, 11:12 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

68.77%chance

231333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1607

274

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