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Prediction markets for Third

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Jan 24, 4:35 AMNov 8, 6:32 AM

21.05%chance

371186698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2361

1171

Trump tries to serve a third term?

Mar 31, 11:44 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

27.91%chance

39388888

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1508

713

Will Trump get a third term in office?

Jan 21, 7:45 PMJan 29, 5:59 AM

4.89%chance

8226876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4410

227

Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?

Nov 13, 3:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.97%chance

7220248

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2048

1466

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

Dec 5, 3:12 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

69.76%chance

6718940

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1519

659

If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?

Feb 19, 4:18 AMNov 9, 5:59 AM

54.05%chance

858592

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

922

Conditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?

Nov 14, 3:36 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM

17%chance

386685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1858

101

Poll says more than 50% of Republicans OK with Trump third term?

Mar 20, 7:16 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

54.55%chance

715371

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1143

862

Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?

Feb 25, 5:04 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

33%chance

315081

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

740

Will a third-party candidate win the US presidency by 2040?

Nov 6, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.09%chance

904790

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1594

1517

Will a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?

Jan 21, 10:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.32%chance

342495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

989

Will Patrick Rothfuss finish writing the third book of the Kingkiller Chronicles by 2030?

Feb 12, 11:12 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

68.77%chance

231333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1607

274

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