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Prediction markets for Third

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Jan 24, 4:35 AMNov 8, 6:32 AM

22.93%chance

365178360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2198

1216

Trump tries to serve a third term?

Mar 31, 11:44 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

22%chance

38487549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1795

618

Will Trump get a third term in office?

Jan 21, 7:45 PMJan 29, 5:59 AM

5.85%chance

7425147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4012

249

Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?

Nov 13, 3:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.57%chance

5516192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2275

1880

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

Dec 5, 3:12 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

54.47%chance

6115916

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1094

914

If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?

Feb 19, 4:18 AMNov 9, 5:59 AM

62.73%chance

818329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1297

771

Poll says more than 50% of Republicans OK with Trump third term?

Mar 20, 7:16 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

58.65%chance

714953

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1238

790

Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?

Feb 25, 5:04 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

27.29%chance

284900

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

906

Will a third-party candidate win the US presidency by 2040?

Nov 6, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.09%chance

894788

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1594

1517

Will a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?

Jan 21, 10:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.54%chance

312456

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

952

Will Patrick Rothfuss finish writing the third book of the Kingkiller Chronicles by 2030?

Feb 12, 11:12 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

68.77%chance

231333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1607

274

Will a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?

Sep 15, 1:33 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

35.08%chance

8400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1360

735

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