This School Year News

If RFK Jr is confirmed HHS Secretary, Marin kindergarten vaccination rate in 2026-2027

Nov 17, 4:34 PMDec 25, 7:59 AM

74625

OptionProbability

Below 94%

95.5%-96.49%

96.5%-97.49%

94%-95.49%

97.5% or above

Which of these will I achieve during the 2025-2026 school year (by July 31, 2026)?

Jul 31, 11:37 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

474551

OptionProbability

I qualify for TST 2026-2027

I qualify for Blue/Black MOP 2026

I beat Artificial Ascent in Geometry Dash by July 31, 2026

I have at least 25 32768s total in 2048 by July 31, 2026

I beat my high score in 2048 by July 31, 2026

I get a gold medal on the 2026 USAMO

I solve at least one problem with <10 solves on any test involved in USA IMO 2026 selection

I have a girlfriend on July 31, 2026

I qualify for IMO 2026

I qualify for RMM 2026

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

92626

OptionVotes

YES

4193

4124

Will I marry my girlfriend by 2032 year end? [M1,400 subsidy]

Mar 15, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.41%chance

421464

OptionVotes

YES

2377

1951

Will my Biology AAC Average be 100(rounded) by the end of the 2025-2025 school year?

Mar 21, 2:58 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

21059

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will I regret not getting a drivers license in 2023 by 2030?

Dec 29, 10:55 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.79%chance

14956

OptionVotes

YES

1613

1128

will i lock in 2025~2026 school year

Aug 16, 9:45 PMJun 23, 11:59 PM

53.39%chance

10273

OptionVotes

YES

107

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

4007

3989

Will my school computer be fixed by the end of the school year?

Mar 24, 1:20 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

49.11%chance

118

OptionVotes

YES

1018

982

Will Michael Vassar's babby (#VassarBabby) go through at least one year of lecture-based K12 school?

Dec 17, 3:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.62%chance

311

OptionVotes

YES

101

Will I make the Honor Roll Every Quarter Until the end of the school Year?

Feb 14, 2:07 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

65%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Isadore Hall

Other

This School Year News

Prediction markets for This School Year

Prediction markets for This School Year

Prediction markets for This School Year

If RFK Jr is confirmed HHS Secretary, Marin kindergarten vaccination rate in 2026-2027

Which of these will I achieve during the 2025-2026 school year (by July 31, 2026)?

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Will I marry my girlfriend by 2032 year end? [M1,400 subsidy]

Will my Biology AAC Average be 100(rounded) by the end of the 2025-2025 school year?

Will I regret not getting a drivers license in 2023 by 2030?

will i lock in 2025~2026 school year

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will my school computer be fixed by the end of the school year?

Will Michael Vassar's babby (#VassarBabby) go through at least one year of lecture-based K12 school?

Will I make the Honor Roll Every Quarter Until the end of the school Year?

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

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