This School Year News

Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1]

Jan 24, 3:26 PMDec 31, 3:10 PM

13.15%chance

426493

OptionVotes

YES

3074

888

If RFK Jr is confirmed HHS Secretary, Marin kindergarten vaccination rate in 2026-2027

Nov 17, 4:34 PMDec 25, 7:59 AM

63975

OptionProbability

95.5%-96.49%

96.5%-97.49%

94%-95.49%

Below 94%

97.5% or above

Which of these will I achieve during the 2025-2026 school year (by July 31, 2026)?

Jul 31, 11:37 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

373169

OptionProbability

I qualify for TST 2026-2027

I qualify for Blue/Black MOP 2026

I beat Artificial Ascent in Geometry Dash by July 31, 2026

I have at least 25 32768s total in 2048 by July 31, 2026

I beat my high score in 2048 by July 31, 2026

I get a gold medal on the 2026 USAMO

I solve at least one problem with <10 solves on any test involved in USA IMO 2026 selection

I have a girlfriend on July 31, 2026

I qualify for IMO 2026

I qualify for RMM 2026

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

92626

OptionVotes

YES

4193

4124

Will I marry my girlfriend by 2032 year end? [M1,400 subsidy]

Mar 15, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.05%chance

401124

OptionVotes

YES

2134

2104

Will I get girlfriend before end of the school year

Dec 20, 9:26 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

17.58%chance

7748

OptionVotes

YES

186

will i lock in 2025~2026 school year

Aug 16, 9:45 PMJun 23, 11:59 PM

53.39%chance

10273

OptionVotes

YES

107

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

4007

3989

Will I get to have an Apple Watch by the end of the school year

Dec 20, 9:31 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

81.08%chance

226

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will Michael Vassar's babby (#VassarBabby) go through at least one year of lecture-based K12 school?

Dec 17, 3:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.62%chance

311

OptionVotes

YES

101

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

Nov 9, 7:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Kenneth Mejia (incumbent)

Isadore Hall

Other

What Will John Make In MathCounts?

Jul 26, 3:26 AMJun 1, 3:20 AM

OptionProbability

Nothing

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This School Year News

Prediction markets for This School Year

Prediction markets for This School Year

Prediction markets for This School Year

Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1]

If RFK Jr is confirmed HHS Secretary, Marin kindergarten vaccination rate in 2026-2027

Which of these will I achieve during the 2025-2026 school year (by July 31, 2026)?

Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?

Will I marry my girlfriend by 2032 year end? [M1,400 subsidy]

Will I get girlfriend before end of the school year

will i lock in 2025~2026 school year

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Will I get to have an Apple Watch by the end of the school year

Will Michael Vassar's babby (#VassarBabby) go through at least one year of lecture-based K12 school?

2026 Los Angeles City Controller Election

What Will John Make In MathCounts?

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