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Prediction markets for Threads

Will Twitter have more users than Meta Threads in December 2025?

Jul 6, 12:59 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82.79%chance

12411453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3622

1447

Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?

Jul 24, 7:14 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

12.82%chance

269201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1338

902

Will Meta adopt nostr protocol in some app or service (Facebook, Threads, Instagram, WhatsApp) before the end of 2025?

Jan 1, 11:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2.24%chance

173518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4307

817

Second major LLM-chatbot integrates thread-memory by EoY 2025

Apr 27, 6:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.68%chance

9813

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1813

552

Will Meta Threads still be around in 2028?

Apr 28, 1:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

59.89%chance

20592

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1167

862

Meta shuts down or merges Threads by EOY2025?

Jun 6, 12:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.56%chance

9483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

350

29

Will automation software let me automatically archive my entire Facebook feed by 2026? (with comment threads)?

Feb 8, 7:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.86%chance

7215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

140

Will Meta's Threads have a karma system similar to reddit by 2030?

Jul 6, 6:42 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

71.82%chance

6181

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

47

Will Reddit r/WorldNews remove the Ukraine-Russia stickied thread before EOY 2025?

Mar 4, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.18%chance

560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

116

Will r/WorldNews unpin the Russia/Ukraine thread before EOY 2025?

Feb 4, 12:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.2%chance

536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

89

Will r/WorldNews unpin the Russia/Ukraine thread before EOY 2026?

Jan 4, 1:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.44%chance

430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

Will physicsgre.com still exist intact (early threads not deleted) by EOY 2033?

Feb 22, 4:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

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