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Top stories

Anthropic Debuts Claude for Chrome as Report Warns of AI-Driven Extortion

Anthropic Debuts Claude for Chrome as Report Warns of AI-Driven Extortion

Authors

69

6 days ago

Prediction markets for Threat Intelligence Report

Will a deepfake impersonating a White House official lead to a military incident involving US troops by October 7, 2025?

Apr 10, 11:14 AMOct 7, 11:59 PM

4.35%chance

3210093

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2828

218

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy survive 2025?

Jun 6, 10:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.58%chance

283753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2540

394

10. The first real AI safety incident will occur.

Dec 27, 8:26 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

49.59%chance

171736

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

992

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7713

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Estonia

Alaska

Other

Finland

Lithuania

Latvia

53

23

8

8

4

2

2

Will U.S. Army Col. Karl Nell ever claim under oath that aliens exist?

Oct 21, 1:40 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

22.43%chance

4110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

186

54

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