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Top stories

Anthropic Debuts Claude for Chrome as Report Warns of AI-Driven Extortion

Anthropic Debuts Claude for Chrome as Report Warns of AI-Driven Extortion

Authors

69

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Threat Intelligence Report

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8715

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Estonia

Alaska

Other

Finland

Lithuania

Latvia

51

26

7

7

4

2

2

Credible evidence that Iran was involved in Bondi Beach shooting?

Dec 31, 8:02 AMJul 1, 6:52 AM

4.28%chance

16468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

473

21

Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026

Feb 2, 11:37 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

29.48%chance

5248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

65

Will U.S. Army Col. Karl Nell ever claim under oath that aliens exist?

Oct 21, 1:40 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

21.53%chance

6137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

53

Will a singular event cause mass civil unrest in the United States by 2029

Jan 12, 2:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

5111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

90

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