Threat Intelligence Report News

Anthropic Debuts Claude for Chrome as Report Warns of AI-Driven Extortion

8 months ago

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24148516

OptionProbability

Yes

Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026

Feb 2, 11:37 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

86.1%chance

364680

OptionVotes

YES

1930

750

Will Laura Loomer’s terrorist attack prediction be correct?

Mar 27, 1:11 PMDec 31, 2:09 PM

3.36%chance

312367

OptionVotes

YES

536

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10754

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Estonia

Alaska

Other

Finland

Lithuania

Latvia

What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?

Apr 8, 12:56 AMJan 1, 1:40 AM

11728

OptionProbability

A (phased) lifting of specific U.S. economic and oil sanctions on Iran.

Strict international, intrusive monitoring of Iran's nuclear facilities.

A formal commitment to end Iranian proxy activities in the Middle East.

Opening of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz without tolls.

A permanent cap on Iranian uranium enrichment levels.

A permanent end to the war and a guarantee that Iran will not be attacked again

An end to Israeli strikes in Lebanon.

A restriction on Iran's development or testing of long-range ballistic missiles.

The deal will not be reached or finalized by December 31, 2026.

A reduction or withdrawal of U.S. naval forces from the Persian Gulf.

Will OpenAI de-deploy GPT-5.5 before 2027 for safety, security, cyber-risk, or other threat-related reasons?

May 4, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.63%chance

4190

OptionVotes

YES

290

Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?

Mar 16, 9:29 PMMar 16, 9:28 PM

65.93%chance

12152

OptionVotes

YES

139

Will U.S. Army Col. Karl Nell ever claim under oath that aliens exist?

Oct 21, 1:40 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

21.53%chance

6137

OptionVotes

YES

194

Will a singular event cause mass civil unrest in the United States by 2029

Jan 12, 2:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

5111

OptionVotes

YES

112

US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?

Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Prediction markets for Threat Intelligence Report

Prediction markets for Threat Intelligence Report

Prediction markets for Threat Intelligence Report

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Will Iran officially announce a blockade/closure of the Strait of Hormuz for more than 48 consecutive hours by July 2026

Will Laura Loomer’s terrorist attack prediction be correct?

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

What will be included in the Iran-US peace deal?

Will OpenAI de-deploy GPT-5.5 before 2027 for safety, security, cyber-risk, or other threat-related reasons?

Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?

Will U.S. Army Col. Karl Nell ever claim under oath that aliens exist?

Will a singular event cause mass civil unrest in the United States by 2029

US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?

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