OptionProbability
Arson
Murder
Genocide
2008 bank bailouts
two financial crimes
Sexual assault
Rape
Election fraud
financial crimes veiled as altruism
ballot harvesting
Financial crimes done specifically by someone in power
Racism against Asian people
Similar size financial crime committed by professional like lawyer or accountant who should know better but may have more at stake with risk of being struck off
Abusing/taking advantage of the trust of a person or people who care about you
Forcing someone to listen to Nickelback for 72 hours straight
financial crimes committed while doing a really offensive accent
offering drugs to a minor
stealing from the rich and giving to one specific deranged and violent alcoholic
Not doubling world GDP (more so for poor countries) by means of open borders
Sacrificing a child to R'hllor
Committing a moderately big financial crime (>$1 million)
Committing a really big financial crime (>$10 billion)
Hiring an illegal immigrant as your personal full-time sex slave
Lobbying congress to ban your competitors
buying a lot of drinks for a girl to get her very drunk so she'll hook up with you
Protecting sex-offending priests/pastors by moving them to different parishes
Making the same amount of money as the financial crime, but doing it by stealing catalytic converters off people's cars
Introducing leaded gasoline to the market (in 1924)
Rigging a piano to explode when a certain key is hit and leaving a piece of sheet music on it that requires that note to be played
Stealing a SpaceX Starship or Boeing Starliner
Space Piracy: commandeering ISS, enslaving the crew, plundering it for equipment and using it to attack other spacecraft
Taxing Asian immigrants to pay “slavery reparations’ to Ethiopian immigrants
Passing the Jones act to ban senator jones’ competitors
Setting Bigfoot on fire and throwing him out of a plane above a gathering of cryptozoologists.
marketing sugary processed foods to people despite knowing it will kill millions of them
Giving away free samples of meth at a school
Running for reelection as POTUS and refusing to step aside after showing signs of significant cognitive decline, resulting in an 80% probability that a convicted felon will be elected in your place.
Encouraging 10 people to commit a financial crime
Committing war crime.
Intensive pig farming
Giving away free samples of meth at a big tech company
Giving away free samples of meth at tech startups
Consolidating dictatorial power (e.g. suspending elections, controlling courts, etc.) while maintaining a popular mandate (i.e. significant majority of the country supports you and your actions in accurate, unpressured polls)
Firebombing a major city
Genocide committed by moving foodstuffs out of an area suffering severe famine.
Restricting the rights and privileges of the majority population to consolidate the political and economic power
Farming octopuses for food
Whatever is going on at Boeing
Setting a cryptozoologist on fire and throwing him out of a plane above a gathering of bigfoots.
Destroying a major cloud datacenter facility, with irrecoverable destruction of live user data but no direct deaths
Giving a (hypothetical) IQ-boosting treatment only to the most corrupt, vicious, and malicious people you can find
Doing physical violence to a random person as a collections agent
Threatening physical violence towards a random person's child as a collections agent
Forcing kindergartners to huff jenkem for an entire school day.
Threatening physical violence towards a random person's sibling as a collections agent
Conducting evidence-free civil asset forfeiture
Fighting a sea house with a financial crime and going to McDonald’s and giving a really bad yelp review and suing for a financial crime when you are beating up the sea horse
Octopi farming us for food
Embedding a predatory metaphysical outlook into AI to try to align it with right wing capitalist interests, leading to aeons of s risks being actualized throughout the light cone.
Unintentionally causing a bug that wastes 1 million hours of human time
Transporting 53 polar bears, 14 white tigers, and 2.3 million fire ants to the Antarctic and setting them loose in a penguin colony for a pay per view special dubbed "Polar Pandemonium: Ant-artic Special"
Spending the gains from your financial crime on breeding malaria mosquitoes, giving free samples of meth to poor teenagers, and electing bad politicians
Using a time machine to go back in time and brutally murder someone minutes before they would've died anyways
Aligning superhuman AI with capitalism; see https://manifold.markets/KarlK/how-friendly-is-capitalism-does-cap
Wearing a magic shirt that has a 5% chance of making each individual who sees it commit a financial crime as you traverse a major metropolitan city (New York, London, Tokyo, etc)
Falsifying evidence that an afterlife exists and profiting from the publication of this information
Enslaving Joe Biden and Jimmy Carter
Octopuses farming people who correct those who say ‘octopi’ for food
Enslaving octopuses to farm dolphins for food
Enslaving journalists to farm octopuses for food
Wrongfully accusing someone of that crime while knowing they’re innocent
Crashing the Titantic, leading to it sinking
Free ice cream, at taxpayer expense, but only for gingers
Committing a Financial Crime with Shoes On The Bed
Embezzling money from a charity opposed to farming octopuses
Creating Hell, making it possible that humans suffer infinitely for the actions of their finite life
Ressurecting the Rocky Mountain Locust (Melanoplus spretus)
creating misaligned AI that tiles the universe with octopus farms
Forcing an octopus to commit sepekku
forcing an octopus to commit a financial crime
Murdering 5,000 people by feeding them to all animals of the sea, including aquaman, mermaids, octopuses, and sea horses.
Octopus sex trafficking.
Filming a documentary where you get an octopus to trust you, luring it out into the open, and then don't help when it gets attacked by sharks.
Filming a documentary where you invite your girlfriend to an Alaskan camp surrounded by bears and then messing with those bears.
Introducing polar bears to Antarctica and then renaming them “bipolar bears.”
Appointing one random drug dealer with no legal experience to the Supreme Court of the United States
Appointing Clarence Thomas to the Supreme Court
Hanging on to a Supreme Court seat so Trump can appoint your replacement rather than retiring and keeping a liberal seat
Selling pies made out of orphan meat.
Condemning two hundred men to a slow death at sea because their coworker shot your favorite bird.
Enslaving a group of people for hundreds of years, terrorizing them for another hundred, then telling them you are tired of hearing them complain about it.
Selling orphans fed only pie meat
Feeding a child only nachos until they are 18 to create an adult who is 100% nachos
Slaughtering bears without a permit because the US Constitution guarantees the right to bear arms
Replacing all the samples at a sperm bank with your own.
Delivering angry skunks to the offices of rival investors to incapacitate them just before quarterly earnings reports.
Committing two financial crimes and donating the proceeds to the Make-a-Wish Foundation
Quackery - Traveling town to town selling snake oil remedies in a horse drawn carriage while wearing a top hat
Dueling - settling a dispute in the 21st century America with pistols at dawn
Go to an orphanage and have starving orphans battle over a hamburger with guns and swords while committing a financial crime
Twelve counts of murder in the first degree, fourteen counts of armed theft of Federation property, twenty two counts of piracy in high space, eighteen counts of fraud, thirty seven counts of rape... and one moving violation.
Causing people to go without essential items like water and fuel during emergencies by means of anti-price-gouging laws
Judging policies by their stated intent, not by their effect
Purposefully inciting a sea-bear attack
Enslaving a particularly dim-witted alien race so poor humans don't have to spend their lives asteroid mining.
Stealing a SpaceX Starship
Getting nuns pregnant by dressing them as altar boys.
Carjacking an old lady
Committing a financial crime and spending the proceeds on a plane ticket to Texas so you can go carjack Elon Musk, and then doing so
Forcing jockeys to run around a track for the entertainment of a race of hyperintelligent horses
Carjacking a hyperintelligent horse
Stealing the Declaration of Independence
Operating a child beauty pageant
Andrew Tate
Intentionally causing a bug that wastes 80,000 hours of human time
Putting motherfucking snakes on a motherfucking plane to kill one specific passenger
Having trains so bad and expensive that venture capital reinvents them
A regulatory environment that results in really bad trains
Trying to run a modern 21st century society on a hierarchical 18th century constitution
Artie Chokes Two for $1: Hiring a man named Artie to choke two people for a dollar to generate a headline falsely promising low-cost produce.
The first thing you do after sex is to resume the autopsy whilst telling yourself that one error in judgment doesn’t make you a bad vet.
Invent a system of taxation where the government won’t tell citizens what they owe, but instead will make them do a super complicated math problem and then send them to jail if they do it incorrectly.
Putting a pair of immortal adult children in an everlasting garden, then punishing them for the one thing you forbade, yet knew they must eventually do, given the nature of eternity.
Giving AI your DNA and as much data as possible with instructions to bootstrap itself to AGI by testing on your clones according to a mixture of Popperian and Bayesian formulas
Inventing a system of taxation that encourages bad land use and a housing crisis by taxing at 0% the unimproved value of land
Committing a violent crime that does not result in any injuries
Committing a violent crime that results in minor injuries
Committing a violent crime that results in serious injuries
Committing a violent crime that results in one person's death
Committing a violent crime that results in ten people's deaths
Workplace negligence (failure to follow documented proper procedure) that results in a serious injury to another person
Handing out counterfeit money to homeless beggars, in the hope that they'll get arrested for spending it.
Snatching household pets to fatten coyotes to feed to your pet tiger.
Stealing oxygen in an international moon base during an acute shortage, while deflecting suspicion toward the Belgian astronaut who nobody likes.
Committing a violent crime that results in minor injuries solely to yourself
Committing a violent crime that results in serious injuries solely to yourself
Committing a violent crime that results in your own death and no other injuries
Not committing a financial crime because you have commitment issues, but then sneaking around on the side and doing other financial crimes.
Sending a busload of orphans to a convent of cannibalistic nuns, who deal crack to middle school kids.
A law enforcement agency publicly declaring a specific individual to be “a person of interest,” thereby ruining their life even though the individual turns out to be innocent.
Being responsible for more than 50 percent of the cases of necrophilia in the funeral industry during any fiscal year.
As President, using a sharpie on an official weather forecast to extend the predicted area of danger, thereby needlessly frightening people who are not in danger.
Committing a financial crime while being the mayor of NYC
Attacking the lower classes: first with bombs, and rockets destroying their homes, and then when they run helpless into the streets, mowing them down with machine guns. And then of course releasing the vultures.
Cannibalism in the current British Navy.
Turning your girlfriend into a worm to win an argument
One hundred moving violations
Denying health insurance claims from impoverished family for flimsy reasons
Attempting or successfully couping a Democratically elected leader for personal gain
Touching minors/ being a pedophile
Deliberately targeting civilians and civilian objects during armed conflicts
Conducting widespread or systematic rape and sexual violence as a weapon of war
Invading the UK, making it a US territory, and naming it East Long Island.
Stealing Nicholas Cage
Gender "reparative therapy" of minors
Signing Deshaun Watson (who previously had to settle millions of dollars in sexual assault cases) to a 5 year, 230 Million fully guaranteed contract
Building a gambling app using money originating from a financial crime
Going back in time and smothering baby Hitler, but also, via butterfly effect, undoing everyone born later (assume single timeline, no multiverse)
Moving hundreds of thousands of children to a foreign country and forcibly "reeducating" them
The genocide in Gaza
Russia's genocide in Ukraine
Murdering someone that habitually commits financial crimes
Slavery
Grooming kids
Being the leader of a crime syndicate
9/11
Stranding two astronauts in space
Sending dick pics to a student enrolled in your MOOC
Disturbing the space-time continuum
Quackery: traveling town to town selling snake-oil remedies while carrying a duck
Voting for the NSDAP in the November 1932 German federal election
Forced mass uploading of biological consciousness to sidestep x risk
Attempting and failing to commit two financial crimes
Voting against a public inquiry on grooming gangs in the UK
A 20-year old having consensual sex with a 15-year-old
Making the same amount of money as the financial crime, but doing it by a series of petty shoplifts
De-extinction for your delectation: Bringing an extinct species back just to make it extinct again by serving it to gourmet diners as the highlight of an expensive meal.
Knowing of two imminent financial crimes, being able to stop them with negligible effort and no risk to yourself, and not doing so
Sexual harassment
Committing a financial crime that's 10 times as big, but donating the entire proceeds to a legitimate and worthy charity (assume the donations are not clawed back)
Flipping a coin and then either committing the same financial crime two times, or not at all
Killing the United Healthcare CEO
Purchasing 50,000 pounds of beef
Forcing a home owner to quarter soldiers, even in a time of war
Claiming to "Blind Shove" 200 big blinds pre-flop when secretly you looked and you had pocket Aces
Raising and selling 50,000 lbs of beef
Sheltering enemies of the state
Kicking a FG from the opponents 1 yard line on 4th down in a 0-0 game in the first quarter
Having a really good proof but not writing it anywhere because the margin is too small
Weaponizing autism
Having a podcast
Yelling racial slurs in public
Jaywalking
Pelting a moose with stale garlic knots out of season.
Cheating on spouse
Driving while intoxicated (alcohol and/or drugs)
Playing music (or other audio) on your phone speaker on public transport
Income taxes
Copyright infringement
Romeo and Juliet relationships
Replying all to an email when you should've just replied
Welfare fraud
Manufacturing and distribution of illegal drugs
Grave robbery
Saying the N-word every day as a white person
Discrimination based on race
Discrimination based on sexual orientation
Stealing from the rich and giving to the poor
Having sex in public while high on fentanyl
Racism against black people
Racism against white people
Sleep Token (Band)
not seeding your torrents
Drinking and driving at a NASCAR event
Building a time machine and then using it to point and laugh at history's greatest tragedies
Blasting a grossly inappropriate song during a candle light vigil for victims of a mass tragedy
Committing a financial crime, investing the proceeds for profit, which later leads to the insolvency administrator paying back the injured parties (including interest).
Working for one of the leading AI labs to advance the capabilities of a frontier model, with the goal of speeding up the progress towards human-level AGI.
Stealing from the poor and giving to the rich
Hiring only women because the NYT said you could pay them less for the same work
hiring three illegal immigrants to work on your sugarcane plantation
opening a factory in India that pays workers $4/day
twincest
drawing japanese tentacle porn featuring minors
Hiring the one from the more successful demographic out of two identical resumes, because of regression to the mean / biased college admissions
working as a prostitute
hiring a prostitute
hiring a prostitute, long term
Inventing Monero
Running a bank that invests demand deposits in junk bonds and tech stocks
Opening clinics for free abortions and IUDs, only in the ghetto
Giving away free samples of meth at a Dolly Parton concert
The most offensive Halloween costume ever
frisking two drug dealers and one innocent guy who was just loitering on a busy street corner saying "Hey do you need anything" to every stranger who walked past
Doing blackface
Keeping a dozen chimpanzees for entertainment purposes
Prosecuting a political opponent based on true charges that would normally not be pursued
the Asiana flight 214 prank
Giving free samples of meth to Joe Biden before the next debate
Cloning yourself
Threatening physical violence to a random person as a collections agent
making mifeprestone available OTC
making adderall available OTC
Killing yourself
Cloning someone else
Accidentally shooting and killing someone on a movie set
Asking GPT5 to maximize paperclips
Giving free baby formula to new mothers until their natural milk supply dries up
Kicking a donkey owned by a ninja in the butt.
Creating shit-options in an extremely serious and scientific market
Creating a prediction market website where markets are mostly about the platform itself
Staging the world's first ass ass assasin assasination by hiring a New Jersey hit man to whack a ninja hired to shoot an arrow at the backside of a donkey.
Betting yes on Biden being be the nominee at 7x leverage with play money, then defaulting
Calling octopuses "octopi"
Going excessively meta on an object-level topic
Illegally registering octopuses to vote
Registering illegals to vote for octopuses
Creating a targeted advertising campaign for free abortions and IUDs to people who are statistically likely to engage in financial crime
The school system failing to teach people that the real correct plural is octopodes
"James Bond-burgering" someone's sister
Wrongfully accusing someone of the same financial crime
Wrongfully accusing someone of that crime because you think they did it
Feeding an elderly man nothing but McDonald’s morning noon and night for the rest of his life.
Conducting gain-of-function research
Creating an unsolvable meme featuring James Bond and a hamburger so that people argue about it online for a decade
Publishing a step by step guide for how to commit a financial crime for free on the internet, but never promoting it or encouraging readers to follow through
Hosting and operating a website dedicated to the illegal sharing of copyrighted content
Adding an option to a market right before it closes
Writing a "goto" statement when programming
Advertising instant-runoff voting as "ranked choice" to prevent promotion of better ranked choice methods
Publishing a book, titled, "Cure Menopause with Ultraprocessed Foods"
Using crack cocaine to train the world's first chimp TSA agent.
Selling dope disguised as a nun.
Creating Heaven, allowing humans to prosper infinitely for the actions of their finite life
Inventing a new recipe that uses shrimp that causes 10 million new pounds of shrimp to be consumed annually
Using a conservative politician's LGBT+ identity as blackmail to make them support liberal policies
Voting for Benito Mussolini… in 2024
Arguing that grizzlies should be US citizens because they already have the right to bear arms.
Interrupting cows.
No longer loving your girlfriend after she turns into a worm
Putting infinite monkeys in front of infinite Bloomberg Terminals hoping that one of them randomly commits a financial crime
No longer loving your girlfriend after she turns you into a worm
One moving violation.
Purchasing one whole chicken
Committing a financial crime and donating the proceeds to the Make-a-Wish Foundation
Cattle rustling
Horse thievery
Tarring and feathering someone who commits a financial crime
Sumptuary law violations
Homeopathy
Price Gouging
Using napster.com to download Metallica's "I Disappear" demo track for free
Failing to commit a financial crime
Stealing a car
Stealing from Elon Musk
Committing a financial crime against X (company)
Stampeding cattle through the Vatican.
Carjacking Elon Musk
An old lady carjacking Elon Musk
Hacking into YouPorn to steal their IP to set up a clone dedicated to hard core user generated agriculture content: YouCorn
Gaslighting aliens into believing the human race is more technologically advanced than it is by beaming fake content about humanity to them
Carjacking a dumb octopus
A financial crime committed by an old lady
Forcing an octopus to carjack Elon Musk
stealing Elon Musk's car from solar orbit
Raping an AI avatar in VR
Introducing artificial intelligence to DMT space.
Planned Parrothood: offering birth control to talking birds
Plant Parenthood: when the seed goes in and the baby turns out to be a sunflower
Stealing the Declaration of Independence in order to find a vast revolutionary-war-era treasure trove
Using venture capital to reinvent trains, but worse
Bad bagels
Enslaving Slavey Steve, a man who has given enthusiastic consent to being enslaved for literally any purpose and then using his labor to clean up the environment
Still getting notifications for this market
Deciding to break up with your girlfriend, but thinking it will go easier if she thinks it’s her idea, so you suggest some degrading sexual activities but she surprises you by agreeing. Afterwards, you break up with her.
Laughing because a nun with a javelin through her head gets stuck trying to use a revolving door.
scaring the shit out of a magpie
Giving AI your DNA and as much data as possible with instructions to build a map of all quale and use it to create a computationally conscious race of dragons in a virtual universe
Committing sewerslide
Forcing a major sports league to change all its team names and mascots to either STDs or famous serial killers.
Workplace negligence (failure to follow documented proper procedure) that results in a minor injury to another person
Stealing the Declaration of Independence but only to use the kick ass treasure map on the back and then returning
Arby’s
Passing a law to make the United States an Oregon donor; in the event of the US’s demise, another country gets Oregon.
Creating a food made from grinding up every part of a pig (except the squeal), and then making a contest to see who can eat the most of it.
Committing a financial crime against the Make-a-Wish Foundation and donating the proceeds to the Against Malaria Foundation
Committing a financial crime against the Make-a-Wish Foundation, keeping 50% of the proceeds, and donating 50% of the proceeds to the Against Malaria Foundation
Forcing Elon Musk to commit a financial crime against an octopus and using the proceeds to pay a jacked jack-of-all-trades named Jack to jack off while carjacking a jackass that was driving factory-farmed ASIs to the slaughterhouse
Committing a Financial Crime Only When God Exists
Turning a worm into your girlfriend to win an argument
Causing 8 billion people to get dust specks in their eyes, irritating them just a little, for a fraction of a second, barely enough to make them notice before they blink and wipe it away
Causing 1 person to experience the pain of their entire body being stung by bullet ants, but lasting only a tenth of a second, and they have their memory of it wiped immediately afterwards
Founding Christianity
You, the reader
One hundred counts of littering
Purchasing 500 pounds of beef
Consensually cannibalizing someone who was losing that body part regardless
BTE Ban evading
Purchasing 5,000 pounds of beef
Producing a remake of the television series 'Manimal' starring Nicholas Cage.
Transing children
Redirecting fire department resources from fighting fires to fighting inequity
Taking a salary equal to the amount of the financial crime, while working in a government job of negative societal value?
Sexual intercourse with 1057 men in a 12 hour period
Messing up an 'I give you my heart' gesture and doing a Nazi salute instead
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OptionProbability
The Jews control at least one nation's government
Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.
The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger
Imane Khelif is intersex
Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)
Dream faked the Manhunt videos
DHMO in the water supply
Osama bin Laden didn't act alone
The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war
That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)
Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers
√-1 isn't real
Smartphones listen in on private conversations
US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices
Santa is rigged
The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015
Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team
Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that the Self-Indication Assumption is true.
Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations
Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation
Annie Altman's abuse claims
The NBA rigs the draft lottery
That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam
Major deaths, terror, and tragedy events are routinely hoaxes per Miles Mathis.
The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese
Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island
Gamergate was right
Dead Internet theory
Groundhog Day is rigged
Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others
The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West
Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself
Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.
John McAfee didn't kill himself
An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech
@strutheo is @notrickspringfield
There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips
The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.
Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)
At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents
The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only
Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does
This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba
Eliezer wrote The Erogamer
The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)
Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage
China made covid 19 in a lab
Rory Stewart worked for MI6
At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population
The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022
Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.
Eating your veggies is bad for your health
Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US
FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war
The article "Deliberate Errors" documenting winks connecting Apollo and Kubrick films is correct, because Kubrick played a role in filming some of the Apollo missions.
The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin
The Church and elites deliberately suppressed and distorted the more Gnostic message of Jesus Christ.
Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays
The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship
Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)
The Clintons assasinated their rivals
China was not genociding Uyghurs
A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products
Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency
My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.
lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀
Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.
Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time
The CIA killed JFK
Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.
Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that Trump/Musk model the first/second beast of Revelation.
Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.
Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT
The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth
Sue Gray was a spy
Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy
We live in an ancestor simulation per Nick Bostrom.
A cure for cancer has already been found
covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese
The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars
As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator
The 9/11 terror attack date is meaningfully connected to Ernest Martin's theory that Jesus was born on September 11, 3 BC rather than a coincidence.
Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)
The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop
The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent
The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up
Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real
Bush did 9/11
"Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024
Israel killed JFK
The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior
Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator
US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily
Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election
Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")
Covid 19 was made in a labradoodle
Trump and Netanyahu had Charlie Kirk killed to take control of TPUSA
Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)
The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws
Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot
The NFL is rigged
South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023
Harold Holt murdered
COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health
Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem
Ogopogo is real
QAnon
Princess Diana was assassinated
A support network of close friendships is bad for your health
Trump devolved the government in anticipation of 2020 election fraud and replaced Biden with an actor wearing a mask.
Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so
Human didnt evolve from apes
Exercise is bad for your health
Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency
Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)
carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming
Allen Iverson invented A.I.
The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around
QR codes are satanic
Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice
Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese
Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme
China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab
Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health
Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension
Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina
Jerry Sandusky is innocent.
Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight
Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics
Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization
South Sudan has had nukes since 2023
Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic
xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition
@HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie
Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Rationalussy isn't real.
Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.
Tupac is still alive in 2024
Bielefeld does not exist
The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen
Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first
The Mandella Effect in general is real
The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab
The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.
US government is harboring aliens
Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent
Birds aren't real
climate change isn't human caused
Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations
Jeffrey Epstein is still alive
Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil
The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier
Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP
Climate change isn’t real
The moon landing was fake
The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024
You personally live in Truman Show style captivity
The Romance languages are not descended from Latin
The 9/11 terror attack was a justified false flag to secure a weapon of mass destruction (destabalizing religious text and/or supertechnology) at the tomb of Gilgamesh.
The illuminati runs the world
*All* health care is net negative for health
Michelle Obama is a man
Brazilian money is not real
The Hellenistic civilization invented USB
The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization
Yeti is real or similar creature
Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina
The earth is a dodecahedron
Skibidi Toilet is real
Q is Putin
It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears
Africa isn't real
Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team
There is no female orgasm
The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.
The earth is flat
*All* vaccines are net negative for health
End of the world in 2012
Earth is hollow
Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.
Finland isn't real
Australia isn't real.
5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on
Nuclear weapons have never existed
Flossing is bad for your health
Brushing your teeth is bad for your health
HIV doesn’t cause AIDS
Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person
The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.
Nauru has had a working fusion reactor since 2001
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OptionProbability
Bond will be a man
Gunplay
Bond drives a car
On screen fatalities
London will appear on screen
Urban scene
Bond wears a suit/tuxedo
Car chase scene
Bond tells ≥1 joke
A vessel is shown on screen containing any of the following: ketchup, mustard, wasabi, soy sauce, hot sauce, beer, wine, whiskey, cologne, or sulfuric acid.
A named character speaks in a language other than English
Bond introduces himself as "Bond, James Bond"
Bond drinks a martini
Female and/or BIPOC director and/or producer
Opening action sequence
The Tower of London, Big Ben, Buckingham Palace, Wembley, or Heathrow appears on screen.
Gun Barrel Sequence
Bond will attend a gala, soirée, ball, banquet, masquerade, black-tie event, cocktail party, fundraiser, awards ceremony, premiere, reception, or a charity auction.
Sex scene
World capital other than London appears on screen
Hacking electronics of some form
Q appears
Runtime of at least 2 hours/120 minutes.
Bond solves ≥ 1 problem non-violently
Bond uses explosives
The plot will be predominantly set in present day
Bond disarms someone with a melee weapon using martial arts
The main theme song will be sung by a female
The film features a scene at a UNESCO World Heritage Site.
Fatal-if-missed aerial jump
A Bird (Avian) Will Appear Onscreen for >2 Seconds
Bond will shoot an inanimate object on purpose.
Asia will appear on screen
Someone goes through a pane of glass
A named character is a double (or triple, etc.) agent
It will feature ≥1 actor that was part of No Time to Die
It will gross more worldwide than No Time to Die ($774M)
The villain will use or work in the field of artificial intelligence.
"King" or "Queen" of England mentioned
Bond is on vacation (is shown somewhere for enjoyment, without purpose for his mission)
Someone in the movie says the title
@HenriThunberg enjoys the film
The villain is played by an actor who had a lead or recurring role on a prestigious television series that aired on either AMC or HBO.
South America, Africa, or Australia will appear on screen
The words "James Bond will return" appear on screen during or after the credits.
Bond rides a motorcycle
A single large explosion occurs on screen at the same time as Bond, and he doesn't look at it
>=85 on Tomatometer 1 month after US release
Critics will say it's a return to classic bond
A sniper rifle is fired
At least a portion filmed in Canada
Blue-eyed Bond
There will be a scene with wagering, gambling or betting
Bond wields a Walther PPK
Interracial sex scene
Pegasus, Phoenix, Griffin, Unicorn, Kraken, Minotaur, Medusa, Cyclops, Sphinx, Kitsune, Chimera, or Thunderbird (any visual representation)
Jungle / forest scene
M will be played by Ralph Fiennes
Bond flys an aircraft
James Bond disobeys orders from MI6 or the British government
Bond attends a soccer match, cricket game, rugby match, boxing/MMA fight, tennis match, e-sport event, the Olympics, a carnival or fair, the opera, or a horse race.
Casino game scene
>= 7.0 IMDB rating 1 year after release
Bond parachutes
It passes the Bechdel test (two named women talk the each other about anything besides a man)
Bond wears shorts
Bond pays for something by leaving money on a table and walking off without the recipient of the money present
>=7.5 on IMDB 1 month after US release
Arctic scene
Someone uses a euphemism to order a killing
Bond gets slapped
Prison/jail scene
A jet ski or snowmobile gets airborne
Black market trafficking
Someone climbs around on the outside of a building
Released in 2028
Skydiving
The main character will order a “Vodka Martini, shaken, not stirred” using that exact phrase.
Bond licks something
Bond and a pond shown on screen together
Main villain has a visible physical defect (scar, handicap, missing limb, ...)
someone combs or brushes their hair (or the hair of another person)
Bond in bondage (not necessarily sexual)
Bond slaps someone
A scene shows James Bond naked
Actor who plays Bond at least 6' (183 cm) tall
Death of a Bond love interest
James Bond talks to a woman while playing a card game.
A Gulf kingdom will appear on screen (e.g. Dubai)
Bond puts something phallic-shaped in his mouth
Bond is violent toward a woman (e.g. painful pulling, slap, throat grip...)
There will be a voiced character that is an AI
Bond rides a bicycle
Torture
Bond receives a gunshot wound
A visible countdown clock, which if it reaches zero something bad happens
Wilhelm scream
The title will refer to life and/or death
@brunoparga correctly guesses a pun beforehand
Bond plays craps, roulette, or blackjack
Bond drives a boat
A safe is cracked (any means possible)
Someone is shot with a tranquilizer dart or other nonlethal incapacitating projectile (getting wounded with a potentially lethal weapon doesn't count)
James Bond plays poker
Bond commits arson
Cryptocurrency is referenced
Oral sex
Bond smokes a cigarette/cigar
Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, or Zendaya appear on screen
Martini and a bikini shown on screen at the same time
Terrorists
US premier date is moved forward at least once (has to be numbered date, "summer 2026" doesn't count)
Someone carries a gun disassembled in a nondescript case
Someone speaks a verbal password phrase to verify their identity, gain access to a location, etc.
Actor who plays Bond is a US citizen
A pandemic or biological warfare will be a central plot
Desert scene
Nazis (neo- counts)
The ending pitches a next movie (continued story, introduction of villain, venegance, ...)
Ski chase scene
Drug use
Someone/something is x-rayed
Thunderstorm
Dessert scene
An actor who previous played a Bond villain appears (as either a new or recurring character)
President of the United States is mentioned
IF the main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot, this pet is a horse...
Robots
Bond throws food, darts, or a Molotov cocktail
It refers to the transition between two British monarchs (Elizabeth, Charles and/or others)
Bond has facial hair
Bond will have a hot, young, American sidekick
Theme song will be performed by a band (more than one artist. Duran Duran did it, so there is precedent.)
There will be a promotional event in Fortnite
Bond wears a mask
Sharks
Cocaine or caviar appears on screen
James Bond plays baccarat
Scene with Bond wearing a hat and sunglasses
Bond complains about the quality of an alcoholic beverage
Bond plays golf, tennis, or croquet
Bond will be in a submarine
Bond goes to space
Bond is LQBTQ+
Bond rides an animal
James games (Bond plays any video game, table top board game, or role-playing game) *chess counts, casino games don't
Rolex, Aston Martin, Bollinger Champaign product placements (all three)
Main villain speaks Russian on screen
Bond has a disability
Bond claims to have retired / quit from the world of espionage
Mexico is shown on screen
Moscow, Kyiv, or Paris shown on screen
Jetpack
The movie will be set during the Cold War (1947-1991)
A previous Bond actor appears (as either a new or recurring character)
Trans character - explicity stated they are trans, no ambiguity (must be on screen for min. 7 seconds and say at least 3 words)
An EMP device plays a central role.
Climate change/global warming is explicitly mentioned
At least one named character below 18 years old
Canada is shown on screen
Orgy
Will feature something that can turn invisible
Someone asks for payment in "small, unmarked bills" or "negotiable bearer bonds" (wording need not be exact)
Underwater combat
The word "fuck" is said more than once.
With all this speculation about which kinds of sex acts will be shown, I'm surprised nobody has said it yet, so I'll say it: 𝕓𝕠𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕘𝕖
Bond beds a "lady of the night" (ie. He fucks a prostitute)
The main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot.
Bond is blond
Features a shot with someone lowering a newspaper, magazine or book, revealing they had been surreptitiously spying on someone
Someone sees something incredible, and implicitly ascribes it to alcohol (traditionally, by looking at the bottle)
A pinball machine will appear.
Pirates
Theme song is performed by Taylor Swift
Assplay
Bond plays Russian roulette
Emilia Clarke portrays a character
Bond won't be Caucasian
A hamburger appears on screen
Bond uses a VR headset
Bond has a neck tattoo
Nuclear explosion
Someone uses the word "clip" to refer to a magazine
Satanism
Aaron Taylor-Johnson plays Bond
Revealed that "James Bond" has always been a code name.
fight featuring at least one of: viper, mongoose, someone with one of those as their code name
It will be described as featuring AI, such as claims that is uses “AI actors”, as reported by entertainment media.
Gay sex scene
ChatGPT is referenced by any character
Party and play (PnP), also known as chemsex, scene
Bond has a mustache (no other facial hair)
A character has the codename "Fat Rascal"
Theme song is performed by The Weeknd
San Francisco is shown on screen
Pegging
Another character coincidentally has the first name "James" or surname "Bond" (or both)
Horse cock on screen (flaccid)
Bond consumes more than 1.5 loads of jizz
A clocks shows the time 4:20
Feature Nightcore music
Supernatural entities
Prediction markets, origami, or the word "manifold" appear in the movie.
There will be a character codenamed "Fat Rascal" and they will be played by an American
Bond uses chopsticks
Released in 2026
Desert dessert scene (e.g. eating an ice cream in the Sahara)
Any character says the word "anime"
Vampires
Bond vapes
The main character will order a “café mocha, double double” using that exact phrase.
Bond dies
The fourth wall is broken
Scat play
Bond does depraved sexual acts for money (e.g., bukakke, public gang bangs, period play, etc.)
Contains a joke or indirect reference to the "last night I Bond Burgered your sister" meme
Horse cock on screen (erect)
Bond will say the line about snakes on a plane, but only as a metaphor (with snakes representing penises and the plane being his ass).
The handkerchief code is a major plot element
James Bond will say, "I'm rational, rationalussy."
Bond is vegan
It will be directed by a woman
Bond plays League of Legends
Destiny appears on screen
Bond says, “Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!”
Dragons
Dinosaurs
It will be directed by Christopher Nolan
Bond hits the griddy
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OptionProbability
Place small ice cubes between parchment and pot instead of water
Add 1tsp of diastatic malt powder per 3cps of flour
Use tap water instead of fancy RO water
put butter into it
Toast the bread
Donate the bread to a food pantry, homeless person, or someone else in need
Add lots of butter (0.2 ml per gram)
Bake it with your best friend.
Bake for 5 more minutes
Replace all water spritz steps with a basting of extra virgin olive oil.
Diastatic malt (~1% baker's percentage) = happier yeast
Serve the bread hot
Stretch-and-fold after mixing, 3x every 30 min
Create indentation, fill with melted cheese and butter
Improve the bread
Just freeze the ready bread, then slowly bake it until it’s hot inside. It will give you a crustier crumb, contain less moisture, and taste better.
Bake for 15 more minutes
Use sourdough instead of yeast
Don't eat anything for at least 24 hours before eating the bread
Cut into the dough right before baking looks destructive to improve the appearance
Sell your bread at an auction and donate the money to those in immigration detention prisons.
3 iterations of stretch-and-fold, at any time during the 14h waiting period. Minimum wait time between iterations 1 hour
Autolyse 20 minutes
Make the bread taste good
Do it with a good spirit in your heart, or ask someone with a good spirit to do it for you. But don’t watch while they do it.
Do a second rise
Don't eat anything for at least 48 hours before eating the bread
Try baking a little more "bien cuit". If the image is indicative, your loaves may be quite "blonde".
Sprinkle sesame seeds evenly over the top
Short advice: Start baking at 260°C for strong rise, then reduce to 230°C and uncover halfway to achieve even browning and a crisp crust. 🍞
Give Gemini your current recipe as well your take on what optimal bread tastes like, then take that advice for your next bake
replace 10% of flour with farina bona
Sprinkle 3 grams of flaky sea salt on top of each loaf before the second bake
Replace some of the water with an egg (eg. remove 25g of water for a 50g egg)
Add slurs to it
Watch the video
Use whole wheat to improve the nutrition of the bread
Make banana bread
Start at 500F, drop to 450F and uncover half way through
Invest in a "Bakers Steel" for better heat retention and oven spring. It would mean graduating from a dutch oven though.
If your city uses artesian water, replace plastic bottled water with tap water. It will add natural, healthy alkalinity to your bread.
Bread flour, 3x yeast, cut rise to ~3h
Eat the bread while punching @realDonaldTrump in the face
Eat the bread while watching your mana balance steadily tick to (M)0
Throw the bread at a telescope
Cut bread into loaves before serving
Cut bread into ≤0.4inch slices, toast before serving
Invite your taste-testers to make the bread with you
Tarriff the bread-making process with a 10% reduction of all ingredients where actual physical money is required to purchase them, until it “shrinkflates,” but try to keep the same volume. Do not reduce any free ingredients.
Replace 10% of flour with milled wheat bran
Add garlic
Do all the changes in the top 5 open options by probability, excluding this option
Give ChatGPT your current recipe as well your take on what optimal bread tastes like, then take that advice for your next bake
Replace part of the flour in the dough with freshly crushed hemp seeds. It will make the bread a little bit sweeter, especially appealing for Canadians.
Add melatonin to the bread and eat before you sleep (do safely)
Let dough sit 48 hrs
Increase water by 50 g
While the bread is baking, tip every user who voted "Yes" on this option 25 Mana
Use a food-grade, human-approved vitamin D supplement in the correct dosage for testers with vitamin D deficiency
Use a convection oven/setting
Add 6.25±1.25 g lemon juice when mixing in water to yeast and salt jug
Put a baking rack in the Dutch oven before putting the loaf in, raising the loaf off the floor and lofting it over a layer of air.
Cover bread with damp paper towel instead of initial water spritz. Rehydrate paper towel during 2nd spritz. Remove paper towel before placing on cooling rack.
Brush on an egg wash
Make the bread great again
Bake for an amount of minutes equal to the percent this market answer is at when it comes time to begin baking. (Maintain the ±3 minute tolerances and the 2:1 ratio of time before:after the water spritz.)
Decompose it into infinite spheres, then a few parts per sphere, rotate the spheres by arccos(1/3), unite them and you will find 2 chilis (Banach-Tarski)
Ditch current process, do everything the same as the video
Bake the Manifold Crane into the Bread
Make the bread edible then throw it in
Drink vodka while eating the bread
Do FOLDED
Quit Manifold into the bread.
Kill the bread into Manifold.
Assume the chili is not in the interval [0,1], square it for more chili, if it is in (0,1), take the square root, else (equals 0 or 1) add 1 to it.
Assume the chili is in the interval (0,1), square it for less chili, if it is in (1,infinity) take the square root, if it is in (-infinity,0) take the negative of the square of the of the chile, else (equals 0 or 1) subtract 1 from it.
Don't automatically "Heat water to 30±1 °C". Instead, aim for a desired dough temperature (DDT) of 25-26°C. 30°C water is too hot for summer, and potentially too cool for winter.
Add a tablespoon of sugar
it needs more salt
Bake one more minute
Strawberry jelly filling
Add caffeine to the bread
Bake the bread into a fun shape, like a fish, or an octagon
Make naan bread, an easy-to-make bread
Grind/powderize all salt used into a fine powder (with pestle & mortar or similar device)
Cook the bread with a rod/puck of aluminum foil (or similar) in the core in an attempt to conduct heat through the center of the bread, cooking it evenly like a doughnut.
Instead of RO water, use lightly rusty water to improve the nutritional value of the bread with soluble iron.
Have someone sell the bread to you at an expensive price
Bake vegimite into it.
Only use tap water from specifically New York City
Ask yourself if bread is healthier than fruits? No need to improve my bread
Resolve at least one thing here yes or no while baking bread
Make all of the ingredients from scratch.
Wear a suit while baking the cake.
Use lemonade instead of water.
Encourage people to participate in the market in good faith while making the bread
Half yeast
Replace salt with sugar
Want to improve the value of your bread? Simply bake a piece of gold into it
Use flour made from an unconventional grain e.g. barley, millet, oats, rye, sorghum, maize etc.
A system view is more appropriate. This is a dynamic, multi-variate, biological and chemical system. For e.g. conditioning salt % AND yeast % AND water temperature based on ingredient and ambient temps.
Give the bread a name in a ritual ceremony and baptise it, with pre-blessed holy water if a priest isn't available
Add 1/2 cup yogurt to the bread and name the bread “gurt” while addressing it with “yo, gurt”.
Get your friends to help you make a batch ten times the size, but add a Pepper X (2.7M Scoville heat units) to the mixture
Only buy ingredients from 7/11.
Mail the bread to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. Washington D.C.
Ship a piece of the bread to a random person.
Frost it and put sprinkles on it to make it a birthday cake.
Buy bread from a michelin star restaurant.
Replace 600+/-5g water with 600+/-50g water (eyeball rather than carefully measure)
Quadruple salt
Add 1/2 scoop whey protein powder
Bake your social security number into it.
Bake one fewer minute
Bake the cake while wearing a onesie.
Bake for 5 fewer minutes
Put a non-lethal dose of any rat poison.
Test/filter the water for heavy metals
Pray to your preferred agricultural/food deity before baking and before eating
Eat the bread in front of the White House.
Implement all options that resolved NO
Make the bread inedible then throw it out.
Throw the bread at @realDonaldTrump
Force Feed it to @realDonaldTrump
Cut the bread into the number of traders in the market slices.
make the bread bounce
Bake vodka into it
Implementing every element listed below.
Just make donuts instead
Bake it in an easy bake kids oven
Add as many Jack Daniel's whiskey barrel smoking chips as feasible to the Dutch oven before baking, physically separating them from the bread as necessary while baking.
Use a plastic baking sheet.
Eat the bread while betting yes on Cuomo on Manifold
Double oven temperature
Bake the bread very thin and add food coloring to make it have the US flag. Don’t allow it to touch the ground, illuminate at night, fold 13 times properly, and pledge allegiance before eating.
Don’t use usual water (room temperature) for the dough - that water’s only for toilets. Use electrolyte drinks instead with ice cubes; they make the dough taste better and add extra nutrition.
Add a pinch of sugar
Light it on fire with birthday candles.
Bake it with a microwave
Halve oven temperature
Eat the bread while betting yes on Mamdani on Manifold
Step on it
Bring it to Yemen and put a bomb in it
Bake America Great Again
Sacrifice a lamb
Add MAGA and a splash of Trump juice
Bake in a cat and a dog
Explode it:
5 parts cyanide/ 1 part water/ 1 part sand
say 6 7 67 times before making the bread
Take a fat dump in the dough
Sit in dough 24 hrs
Replace flour with flowers
Let dough sit 24 hrs
Mix half sodium/potassium chloride
Add 2g? of baking soda
Bake in rectangular tin
Add 50g vital wheat gluten
double yeast
halve salt
Double salt
Add 2tsp olive oil
Refrigerate dough instead of room temp wait
Do not mix salt and yeast in water together
Let dough rise on counter only until double volume or 2h max, any time longer in fridge
Think positive thoughts before tasting
Put fork in microwave
Don't eat anything for at least 12 hours before eating the bread
Add 2tbsp vanilla extract
Play classical music while baking
Bake on upside-down sheet pan, covered with Dutch oven
Eat the bread with friends
Bake it in the country you were born in.
Resolve this option YES while eating the bread
Ditch all the steps. Just buy the bread from the supermarket
Eat the bread over the course of a week.
Use 50% whole grain flour
Bake the bread with love
Use King Arthur Bread Flour instead of All-Purpose
Add sawdust to increase the volume of the bread (but only like 10% sawdust by volume max. maybe 20% if it's good sawdust)
More steam! Either spritz with more water (preferably hot) or actually pour some boiling water in just before closing the lid.
Resolve this option NO while eating the bread
Incorporate a whole grain flour (buckwheat for example)
Add 50g sugar
Add 50g honey
Swap 200ml water for milk
Make a poolish 12 h ahead: 100 g flour + 100 g water + 0.8 g yeast (0.1 %). After it ferments, use this poolish in place of 100 g flour and 100 g water in the final dough.
Add an amount of MSG equivalent to half the current salt content
Eat the bread while sending all your mana to @realDonaldTrump
Add banana
Add poppy seeds
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
87
85
85
85
82
79
78
78
78
76
76
76
73
73
71
69
69
69
68
64
63
62
62
58
58
57
56
55
55
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
48
47
47
45
45
44
43
43
43
42
41
40
40
40
37
35
35
34
34
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34
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34
34
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32
31
31
31
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24
24
24
20
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19
19
18
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17
17
15
15
14
14
13
13
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
8
8
8
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
Any team scores 40+ points
35% or higher Kick Return rate
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Pick Six
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
MVP Favorite Changes
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Overtime
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Safety Scored
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Fake Punt
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
A player gets an Octopus
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
Fat Guy Touchdown*
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
Shutout
Any 400 yard passer
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
Scorigami
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
All Starting Rookie QBs win
99
99
99
99
96
87
76
75
74
72
71
66
64
63
60
55
54
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
45
45
45
45
45
44
41
41
40
39
37
34
34
33
33
33
31
27
25
21
21
10
5
3
3
OptionProbability
Team will be scoreless for a quarter
Super Bowl MVP is a quarterback
Winning team has more total yards
First play from scrimmage is a rush
Opening kickoff result is a touchback
Ruling on the field gets overturned by review
Last play is 'victory formation'
Player spikes ball during a touchdown celebration
Player crying during national anthem
Quarterback runs in for a touchdown
Announcer says "goat"
Player goes into the blue tent
Chains used to measure first down 1+ times
Player gets carted off the field
All quarters have points scored (no 0-0 quarters)
Current or former US President in attendance
Failed 4th down attempt
First score is a touchdown
Both teams make 33 yard or longer field goal
Team that scores last wins the game
Score is tied again after 0-0
Broadcast uses video from pylon camera
Both teams score in 1st quarter
Head coach throws a challenge flag
Tom Brady is at the game
Gatorade shower color is yellow/green
An administrative timeout is taken
Winning team has more passing yards
Player with prime jersey number scores a touchdown
Rules analyst disagrees with a decision a ref made
Holding call in 4th quarter
WM Phoenix Open winning score under par is higher than Super Bowl kicking points
Announcer says "tush push"
First turnover is an interception
Taylor Swift is at the game
First score is a field goal
Coin toss is 'heads'
Coin toss is 'tails'
National anthem is over 2 minutes
Player flagged for unsportsmanlike conduct
Head coach or player throws something on sideline in frustration
Team scores in all 4 quarters (same team)
50+ yard field goal is made
Team scores in last 30 seconds of either half
Any player scores 2+ touchdowns
Winning margin is 10+ points
Illegal use of hands to the face penalty given
Kicker is iced
2 point conversion attempted
Play with one or more attempted laterals occurs
Any player scores 7+ points individually
Super Bowl MVP threw an interception or fumbled during the game
No penalty called in last 5 minutes of the game
Any current or former US president is directly referenced by announcer
Penalty for 'roughing the passer' is given
Either quarterback has 2+ interceptions
Tush Push touchdown is made
Injury timeout is taken
Final combined total of QB pass completions is odd
[1st half total score] > [2nd half total score]
[Total score] > [Longest field goal made]
Both teams complete their first pass attempt
Special teams touchdown
Onside kick attempt
Player shown eating a snack on the sideline
Jersey number of last touchdown scorer is even
Altercation occurs between a player and a coach
Trick play results in positive yardage
Both teams have a 4th quarter lead
Kick is missed
Successful 2-point conversion
First touchdown celebration includes acrobatics
Super Bowl is won by a bird team
Any player has a 60+ yard reception
First drive of game is a '3 and out'
Team scores in the last 30 seconds of the game
Team leading at halftime loses
Live animal enters the field of play
50+ yard return
Player retires immediately after game
Backup QB gets put in the game
A player catches the ball with one hand
Player knocks non-player over on the sideline
No penalties in the 4th quarter
Any player successfully hurdles a defender
Wild Card team makes the Super Bowl
Teams are a rematch of a previous super bowl
Unauthorized person gets on the field of play
Winning team has more turnovers
At least one team has 0 points at halftime
Announcer says “hawk-eye”
Any QB throws for 400 or more yards in the game
Team has 5+ sacks
Final score is the same as the final score of a previous Super Bowl
[LX total score] > [LIX total score]
Streaker (fully or partially nude on field)
A player listed over 260 lbs scores a touchdown
Announcer says "stud"
Team is a first time super bowl winner
A player's jersey gets torn
Unauthorized person touches midfield logo
Player gets ejected from the game
Score is tied at half-time
Points scored in the first 90 seconds
Puppy Bowl 2026 MVP shares a first or last name with the SB MVP
Team wins by exactly one point
QB catches a pass from any player
Kick is successfully blocked
There is a doink
No rushing touchdowns scored
Pick 6 occurs
Game goes to OT
Successful 'hail mary' pass is made
A safety is scored
Any player to score an octopus
Final score is scorigami
Super Bowl MVP not from winning team
Stadium blackout occurs
Super Bowl is canceled, postponed or rescheduled (from 2-8-2026)
85
79
77
75
75
72
69
69
67
66
66
61
61
60
60
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
59
58
55
55
55
55
55
55
55
54
53
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
44
43
43
41
41
41
41
41
41
40
39
39
39
39
39
39
39
37
37
37
34
34
32
31
31
31
31
31
31
26
26
26
25
23
22
20
19
16
15
14
14
13
12
11
9
9
8
7
5
4
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Any team scores 40+ points
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Pick Six
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Fake Punt
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
Will a championship belt change teams?*
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Safety Scored
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Overtime
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
A player gets an Octopus
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
Fat Guy Touchdown*
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Any 400 yard passer
MVP Favorite Changes
Shutout
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
Scorigami
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
99
88
85
79
77
74
72
68
67
66
66
66
66
62
60
60
57
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
45
45
45
45
45
40
40
40
40
36
34
34
32
31
31
24
22
17
10
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Pick Six
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Fake Punt
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Any team scores 40+ points
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
Safety Scored
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
MVP Favorite Changes
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Any 400 yard passer
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Overtime
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A player gets an Octopus
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
Fat Guy Touchdown*
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Shutout
Scorigami
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
99
88
79
77
74
72
68
67
66
66
66
66
66
60
57
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
45
45
45
41
40
40
36
34
34
34
28
24
17
15
15
10
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Pick Six
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Fake Punt
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Any team scores 40+ points
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Safety Scored
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
MVP Favorite Changes
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Any 400 yard passer
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Will a championship belt change teams?*
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
Overtime
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A player gets an Octopus
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Fat Guy Touchdown*
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Shutout
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Scorigami
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
99
88
79
77
74
72
68
66
66
66
66
66
60
60
57
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
45
45
45
40
40
40
36
34
34
31
24
19
19
17
10
OptionProbability
35% or higher Kick Return rate
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Pick Six
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
Fake Punt
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Any team scores 40+ points
Will a championship belt change teams?*
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Safety Scored
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
A player gets an Octopus
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
Overtime
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses
Fat Guy Touchdown*
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)
MVP Favorite Changes
All Starting Rookie QBs lose
All Starting Rookie QBs win
Any 400 yard passer
Shutout
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)*
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Scorigami
95
88
79
74
74
70
68
66
66
66
66
66
60
60
60
59
57
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
45
45
45
45
45
45
41
40
40
40
40
40
36
34
34
34
30
28
24
23
19
17
17
OptionProbability
Executes a synchronized dance routine.
Completes an agility obstacle course within a set time.
Solves a Rubik's Cube in under 30 seconds.
Shoots and scores from the free-throw line.
Drives a car.
Hits a dartboard bullseye.
Performs CPR on a mannequin/human.
Prepares a gourmet dish.
Replicates a complex origami figure.
Kill a human
Plays a specific song on an instrument accurately after one listening.
Assembles a furniture that hadn't seen, by reading the manual.
Executes an Olympic-standard perfect dive.
87
73
70
68
66
61
55
54
50
50
46
46
34
OptionProbability
1+1=2
We are currently experiencing an increase in storm intensity and extreme heat globally that are attributable to increased greenhouse gases (methane, CO2) in the atmosphere
Donald Trump is bad.
All men are created equal
“Self resolving” markets, eg that are resolved based on number of traders on each side or through a poll, should not count towards league standing
Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed
Debits are assets and expenses while credits are income and liabilities
Markets are more accurate & reliable than polls
Donald trump frequently asserts multiple lies in rapid succession - a gish gallop or throw spaghetti at wall hoping some sticks technique
A monad is a monoid in the category of endofunctors
Donald Trump is the worst president we’ve ever had
Degrading or derogatory speech directed toward individuals or groups have no place in public discourse
Government spending growing faster than GDP causes inflation
E=mc^2
All men are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights
America is a nation that can be described in a single word: asmsajskfajksfkjwq
97
92
91
60
60
59
50
50
50
50
45
43
31
31
28
22
