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Top stories

HSBC Upgrades DLocal to Buy with 23.3% Jump, Oracle and Dell Receive Price Target Raises; Cisco Downgraded to Hold

Company Earnings

HSBC Upgrades DLocal to Buy with 23.3% Jump, Oracle and Dell Receive Price Target Raises; Cisco Downgraded to Hold

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Tier

What will be the best FrontierMath Tier 4 score by Dec 31, 2026?

Jan 16, 8:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45126300

OptionProbability

≥90%

80-90%

40-50%

50-60%

60-70%

70-80%

<30%

30-40%

93

3

1

1

1

1

0

0

Which Tier-1 studio/corporation will acquire The Architect (Siberian Node) first?

Apr 18, 11:54 AMDec 31, 12:21 PM

1934265

OptionProbability

Stays Independent / Refuses Buyout

Rockstar Games

NVIDIA

Blizzard Entertainment

OpenAI

CD Projekt Red

96

2

1

0

0

0

Will OpenAI display ads to free tier users within one year?

Aug 20, 2:05 AMAug 20, 2:03 AM

98.91%chance

3216305

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9589

106

Will Anthropic or OpenAI add a higher tier subscription >= 400$ in 2026?

May 17, 3:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.76%chance

8316242

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6939

5265

Tier 4 Callers Stock [Permanent]

Nov 12, 5:55 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

629207

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1713

570

Will AI usage in 2030 be split in tiers where the best and most expensive models are used rarely compared to cheaper and lower-quality models?

Dec 23, 9:10 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

91%chance

231906

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2000

824

New Claude tier above Max 20x before 2027?

Jan 9, 8:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.74%chance

141276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1501

666

Melee - S Tier ETF (Permanent)

Mar 12, 8:31 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

91021

OptionProbability

NO

YES

968

762

☁️ Will Apple increase the free iCloud storage tier to >5GB in the US by 2030?

Mar 6, 1:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.08%chance

14657

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1256

885

Will a Mythos-tier-at-cybersecurity open-source model be released before end of 2027?

Jul 24, 3:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.62%chance

10601

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1545

362

During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?

Jul 7, 3:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

8.26%chance

11334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1269

925

Will "The Tale of the Top-Tier Intellect" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 12, 10:24 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.16%chance

1250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

964

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