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Prediction markets for Tim

Will Tim Cook retire by 2030

Oct 19, 4:22 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

98.17%chance

1912041

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7789

594

If Harris loses, will Tim Walz be the 2028 presidential nominee?

Jul 30, 2:51 AMJul 6, 6:59 AM

4.27%chance

5411702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4732

211

Will Tim Walz run for President in 2028?

Nov 9, 10:07 AMNov 17, 5:59 AM

4.52%chance

5211548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4598

218

Will Tim Walz be party nominee for president in 2032?

Aug 8, 7:17 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

2.42%chance

235867

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6355

157

Tim Cook's last day as Apple CEO?

Dec 11, 9:30 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62338

OptionProbability

Q1 - Q2 2027

Q2 2026

Q4 2026

Q3 2026

Q3 - Q4 2027

Q1 - Q2 2028

2029

2025 - Q1 2026

Q3 - Q4 2028

2030+

29

22

17

15

5

5

3

2

2

1

Will Tim Walz be a candidate for president in the 2032 primaries?

Aug 8, 7:28 PMNov 16, 7:59 AM

11.83%chance

102100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2730

366

Will Tim Walz Finish his term as Governor of Minnesota?

Feb 1, 1:38 AMJan 4, 11:59 PM

88.66%chance

91796

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2796

358

Will Tim Cook step down as Apple CEO in 2026?

Nov 25, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13644

OptionProbability

No, Not in 2026

Yes, in Second Half (Jul–Dec)

Yes, in First Half (Jan–Jun)

Other

52

31

17

0

Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

12410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

943

Will Tim Pool be married by the end of 2027?

Oct 23, 2:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.08%chance

5161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

Will Tim Cook be alive through the end of 2060?

Jan 23, 1:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.3%chance

745

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

120

Will Tim Walz run for an elected office before EOY 2030

Jan 29, 6:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.5%chance

211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

91

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