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Top stories

Enlivex Shares Halted as Phase II Data Show Knee Osteoarthritis Relief

Authors

4

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Time

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2025 Person of the Year?

Dec 6, 1:02 PMDec 11, 7:59 AM

17892254165

OptionProbability

Artificial Intelligence (Including ChatGPT or any other variation)

Jensen Huang

Other

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Sam Altman

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Zohran Mamdani

Benjamin Netanyahu

Xi Jinping

Gavin Newsom

Jerome Powell

Charlie Kirk

Gen Z

Jeffrey Epstein

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Lee Jae Myung

Ahmed Al-Sharaa

[Any variation of "The Victims of War"]

[Any variation of "The Courts"]

[Any variation of "Trump Prosecutors"]

Vladimir Putin

Beyonce

Elon Musk

AOC

Sydney Sweeney

Demis Hassabis

Larry Ellison

Prediction Markets [including any founder/s or platform/s by name]

Mark Carney

Sanae Takaichi

Nayib Bukele

Nicolas Maduro

31

20

13

10

5

5

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

When will Trump serve time?

Jun 29, 9:56 PMDec 1, 11:03 PM

25511832580

OptionProbability

Never

2029

2030s

2025

2023 (NO)

2024

2026

2027

2028

2040s or later

92

4

4

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

12.71%chance

403220077

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5523

979

Jensen Huang (YES) vs Pope Leo (NO): Time POTY 2025

Nov 30, 4:22 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

64.6%chance

10849588

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1267

986

How much time will Tetra spend in each city in 2025?

Aug 18, 9:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

531716

OptionProbability

Other

London

Paris

Middlesbrough

Osaka / Kyoto

Portland

Seattle

San Francisco

New York

Tokyo

Boston

Washington

Taipei

20

19

12

11

9

7

6

4

3

3

3

2

2

In 10 years, what % of the EA/adjacent community think, on balance that Wytham Abbey was a good use of money, compared to the other options at the time? (Buy yes to increase)

Dec 10, 1:17 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

63.63%chance

7921645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2729

2049

Salary withheld for 5000 full time US federal government employees on or before December 31, 2025

Feb 2, 8:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.08%chance

1817139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24776

2392

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Nov 21, 4:34 PMNov 28, 10:59 PM

7.18%chance

710104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20076

7889

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

53.7%chance

429653

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11488

8479

SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.82%chance

285164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3696

271

Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?

Apr 14, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.22%chance

213184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11698

8549

Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?

Jul 4, 4:48 PMDec 31, 12:57 PM

20.45%chance

31361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4257

2428

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