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Prediction markets for Title 10

Will "SPINNING PLATES OF MEANING ON A NEEDLE MADE OF LIGHT!" receive 10,000 listens in 2025?

Mar 27, 11:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38%chance

5826742

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1277

783

Will Trump pardon SBF?

Aug 21, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.56%chance

9125474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3497

286

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

67.6%chance

537244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1445

692

Will any player other than Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner win a major this year?

Jun 10, 10:17 PMSep 14, 10:59 PM

27.46%chance

234285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1625

615

AI Warning Signs: Will a tool that can easily generate generative AI deepfakes be broadly accessible before 2030?

Jan 18, 7:01 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

82.96%chance

172444

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2206

453

Will Damien Hirst's "The Currency" be more valuable as an NFT than as a physical painting?

Oct 12, 6:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.9%chance

17766

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

951

If many think Trump was unjustly incarcerated and kept from the presidency, will there be extreme civil unrest?

Aug 30, 1:10 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

22.8%chance

11452

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1109

942

A Screen Actor's Guild supported TV Show or Movie will list an AI in its writing credits before the end of 2025

Dec 27, 4:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.56%chance

18349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

932

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

3989

If, before 2050, AI kills more than 1 million people, will the policy response be insufficient?

Aug 8, 5:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

68.45%chance

365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4047

3968

Will Yoshiharu Habu ever win his 100th major shogi title?

Apr 12, 7:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.6%chance

329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

57

Will Brazil Secure 10 or More FIFA World Cup Titles In Total (5 So Far) Before 2110?

Sep 19, 11:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

224

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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