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Warner Bros.' Superman Crosses $300M Domestic, $527M Global Box Office With $225M Budget; No Digital Release August 15

1 day ago

Will my ex partner and I get back together within 3 years?

Aug 16, 1:44 AMJun 17, 6:59 AM

69.58%chance

189139847

OptionVotes

YES

165099

32367

Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2026?

Apr 16, 11:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1.17%chance

13261939

OptionVotes

YES

5055

Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?

Apr 16, 11:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.81%chance

296581

OptionVotes

YES

1214

374

Will Leo DiCaprio and Timothee Chalamet ever star in a movie together?

Nov 17, 1:04 AMJan 6, 5:59 AM

38.47%chance

285685

OptionVotes

YES

1093

781

Given I have been with my partner for a year, will we be together for 5?

Sep 2, 9:46 PMAug 29, 3:59 AM

63.79%chance

725095

OptionVotes

YES

1277

780

Will Elon Musk get back together with Grimes again?

Aug 18, 11:16 AMJan 1, 4:13 PM

5.48%chance

233251

OptionVotes

YES

4165

490

Will Ludwig and QT still be together at the end of 2025?

Jan 31, 5:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.49%chance

271961

OptionVotes

YES

1586

776

Conditional on anyone proposing marriage via Manifold before 2025, will that couple still be together after the proposal?

Nov 15, 7:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

91.49%chance

231039

OptionVotes

YES

1579

842

Will BTS perform together before 2026?

Apr 17, 1:23 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.78%chance

12981

OptionVotes

YES

1606

453

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

Oct 19, 6:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

67.72%chance

10400

OptionVotes

YES

1057

834

Will AI finally generate an acceptable image of "Peter Thiel making out with, cuddling with, and incubating an egg together with a gay penguin" by 2025?

Jan 5, 4:48 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

84.79%chance

13267

OptionVotes

YES

1181

938

Will "Superbabies: Putting The Pieces Together" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jul 13, 12:15 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

36.85%chance

4205

OptionVotes

YES

1196

334

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Aug 1, 2025
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Warner Bros.' Superman Crosses $300M Domestic, $527M Global Box Office With $225M Budget; No Digital Release August 15
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Prediction markets for Together

Will my ex partner and I get back together within 3 years?

Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2026?

Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?

Will Leo DiCaprio and Timothee Chalamet ever star in a movie together?

Given I have been with my partner for a year, will we be together for 5?

Will Elon Musk get back together with Grimes again?

Will Ludwig and QT still be together at the end of 2025?

Conditional on anyone proposing marriage via Manifold before 2025, will that couple still be together after the proposal?

Will BTS perform together before 2026?

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

Will AI finally generate an acceptable image of "Peter Thiel making out with, cuddling with, and incubating an egg together with a gay penguin" by 2025?

Will "Superbabies: Putting The Pieces Together" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

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