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Prediction markets for Together

Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2026?

Apr 16, 11:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

0.61%chance

13365889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6192

17

Will I get my shit together by the end of the year?

Oct 15, 10:42 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

27.96%chance

3111741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16052

6230

Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?

Apr 16, 11:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.09%chance

327932

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1432

175

Will Leo DiCaprio and Timothee Chalamet ever star in a movie together?

Nov 17, 1:04 AMJan 6, 5:59 AM

38.47%chance

285685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

781

Given I have been with my partner for a year, will we be together for 5?

Sep 2, 9:46 PMAug 29, 3:59 AM

63.79%chance

725095

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1277

780

Will Ludwig and QT still be together at the end of 2025?

Jan 31, 5:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

89.55%chance

273377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2666

590

Andrej Karpathy and Elon back working together by mid 2026

Nov 13, 7:59 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

10.71%chance

122326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2888

346

Will BTS perform together before 2026?

Apr 17, 1:23 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14.43%chance

131731

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2356

240

Andrej Karpathy and Elon back working together by mid 2028

Nov 13, 8:02 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

33.88%chance

6825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1397

716

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

Oct 19, 6:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

69.44%chance

11450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

884

Will AI finally generate an acceptable image of "Peter Thiel making out with, cuddling with, and incubating an egg together with a gay penguin" by 2025?

Jan 5, 4:48 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

86.03%chance

14367

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1281

921

Will "Superbabies: Putting The Pieces Together" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jul 13, 12:15 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

36.85%chance

4205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1196

334

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