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Prediction markets for Together

Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?

Apr 16, 11:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2.81%chance

5414376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2429

15

Will Elon Musk get back together with Grimes again?

Aug 18, 11:16 AMJan 1, 4:13 PM

7.34%chance

236037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3379

543

Will Leo DiCaprio and Timothee Chalamet ever star in a movie together?

Nov 17, 1:04 AMJan 6, 5:59 AM

39%chance

305698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

790

Will Destiny and Melina ever get back together?

Dec 11, 8:03 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

5.31%chance

252275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2429

737

Andrej Karpathy and Elon back working together by mid 2028

Nov 13, 8:02 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

17.07%chance

111632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2204

454

Conditional on anyone proposing marriage via Manifold before 2025, will that couple still be together after the proposal?

Nov 15, 7:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

91.49%chance

231039

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1579

842

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

Oct 19, 6:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65.24%chance

16641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

769

Will Chelsea Voss (@csvoss) and gwern end up in a relationship (or fall in love/have babby together) by EOY2028?

Nov 27, 11:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.49%chance

8571

OptionVotes

YES

NO

526

19

If Jose Luis Ricon were to run 1 mile together, racing against Sigil Wen, would he win?

Jul 28, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.73%chance

17

OptionVotes

YES

NO

107

94

Will Jose Luis ricon and Alexey guzey both go sitting on a tree together??

Jul 27, 8:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Kliment serafimov and Barton Rhodes both hackathon together by 2030

Sep 21, 4:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will James Koppel and Barton Rhodes both go snowboarding together by EOY2045?

Sep 21, 5:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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