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Prediction markets for Together

Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?

Apr 16, 11:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.74%chance

5012401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1963

41

Given I have been with my partner for a year, will we be together for 5?

Sep 2, 9:46 PMAug 29, 3:59 AM

68.43%chance

825746

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1422

706

Will Elon Musk get back together with Grimes again?

Aug 18, 11:16 AMJan 1, 4:13 PM

6.47%chance

235715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3701

520

Will Leo DiCaprio and Timothee Chalamet ever star in a movie together?

Nov 17, 1:04 AMJan 6, 5:59 AM

39%chance

305698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

790

Will Destiny and Melina ever get back together?

Dec 11, 8:03 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

5.85%chance

252075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2229

749

Andrej Karpathy and Elon back working together by mid 2028

Nov 13, 8:02 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

17.07%chance

111632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2204

454

Conditional on anyone proposing marriage via Manifold before 2025, will that couple still be together after the proposal?

Nov 15, 7:41 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

91.49%chance

231039

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1579

842

Will any LLM be able to multiply together arbitrary decimal numbers by the end of 2027?

Oct 19, 6:40 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65.24%chance

16641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

769

Will Sophie Turner and Joe Jonas get back together?

Sep 8, 1:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10210

OptionProbability

No

Yes

88

12

Will Eli Manning and Abby Mcgrew still be together at the end of 2026?

Jul 14, 4:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.63%chance

3110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

49

Will Jose Luis Ricon, Yoyo Yuan, and Claire Wang visit Chongqing together by EOY2028?

Mar 16, 3:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.61%chance

285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

185

54

Will Jose Luis Ricon and Cathy Tie both engineer a chimeric mouse model together by EOY2030?

Jun 6, 4:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

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