Tokenizer API News

Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 to all customers by the end of June?

Jun 13, 1:26 AMJul 1, 4:59 AM

21.71%chance

25953744

OptionVotes

YES

1600

749

Which of the following will be true about the rumored “Claude Mythos”?

Mar 27, 4:39 AMJan 1, 5:29 AM

493687

OptionProbability

It scores at least 50% on SWE-Apex (3rd party evaluation)

It scores at least 55% on SWE-Apex (3rd party evaluation)

It will only be available on the max plan and/or the API

It will be called “Claude Mythos” on release

It will cost at least 3x more per output token than Claude Opus 4.6 currently does on the API

It will cost at least 5x more per output token than Claude Opus 4.6 does per output token on the API

It will implement parallel test-time compute (like GPT pro series) rather than just being a larger model than Opus

100

Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 for US customers by the end of June?

Jun 13, 1:36 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

33%chance

523302

OptionVotes

YES

142

Will Claude Fable 5 be API Pricing Only when public access returns?

Jun 14, 2:21 AMJan 1, 2:21 AM

15.39%chance

121728

OptionVotes

YES

2345

426

When will the next paradigm in LLMs (after reasoning) be released?

Feb 17, 4:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51228

OptionProbability

Q1/Q2 '26

Q3/Q4 '26

Q3/Q4 '25

Q1/Q2 '27

Q1/Q2 '25

Q3/Q4 '27

2028 or later

Before 2029, will OpenAI derive less than 25% of revenue from token-priced API access?

Jun 5, 2:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.54%chance

41055

OptionVotes

YES

1802

555

By what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year?

Feb 2, 1:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8947

OptionProbability

< 0.05x

0.05x - 0.2x

0.2x - 0.5x

0.5x - 0.9x

0.9x - 1.1x

> 1.1x

New gemini version out in june

Jun 8, 10:37 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

37.19%chance

21439

OptionVotes

YES

130

When will Qwen-Image-2.0 weights become publicly available?

Feb 11, 5:07 AMJul 1, 4:06 AM

4342

OptionProbability

July 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2027

Before July 1, 2026

Jan 1, 2027 – June 30, 2027

July 1, 2027 or later

Largest context window for an LLM from a top three AI lab in 2026?

Mar 9, 7:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5194

OptionProbability

At least 1.1 Million

At least 2 million

At least 4 million

At least 10 million

At least 20 million

GPT-5 level model runnable on phones by 2030?

Oct 12, 8:31 PMJan 1, 9:29 PM

41%chance

7148

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will any frontier model support a 10M+ token context window before 2028?

May 25, 5:03 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

39.13%chance

784

OptionVotes

YES

125

Tokenizer API News

Prediction markets for Tokenizer API

Prediction markets for Tokenizer API

Prediction markets for Tokenizer API

Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 to all customers by the end of June?

Which of the following will be true about the rumored “Claude Mythos”?

Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 for US customers by the end of June?

Will Claude Fable 5 be API Pricing Only when public access returns?

When will the next paradigm in LLMs (after reasoning) be released?

Before 2029, will OpenAI derive less than 25% of revenue from token-priced API access?

By what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year?

New gemini version out in june

When will Qwen-Image-2.0 weights become publicly available?

Largest context window for an LLM from a top three AI lab in 2026?

GPT-5 level model runnable on phones by 2030?

Will any frontier model support a 10M+ token context window before 2028?

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