OptionProbability
It scores at least 50% on SWE-Apex (3rd party evaluation)
It scores at least 55% on SWE-Apex (3rd party evaluation)
It will only be available on the max plan and/or the API
It will be called “Claude Mythos” on release
It will cost at least 3x more per output token than Claude Opus 4.6 currently does on the API
It will cost at least 5x more per output token than Claude Opus 4.6 does per output token on the API
It will implement parallel test-time compute (like GPT pro series) rather than just being a larger model than Opus
100
40
0
Q1/Q2 '26
Q3/Q4 '26
Q3/Q4 '27
Q3/Q4 '25
Q1/Q2 '27
Q1/Q2 '25
2028 or later
23
20
19
14
13
7
5
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1802
555
< 0.05x
0.05x - 0.2x
0.2x - 0.5x
0.5x - 0.9x
0.9x - 1.1x
> 1.1x
35
27
21
6
July 1, 2027 or later
Jan 1, 2027 – June 30, 2027
July 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2026
Before July 1, 2026
42
41
11
At least 1.1 Million
At least 2 million
At least 4 million
At least 10 million
At least 20 million
61
51
30
24
22
120
83
125
80