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Prediction markets for TOMA

Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse get a 95% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes?

Mar 24, 4:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.57%chance

461829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

920

Will "Tomas Bjartur: The Last Prodigy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 14, 4:30 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

6.07%chance

41793

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2215

879

Will "Critterz" (OpenAI's feature film) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of at least 60%?

Sep 8, 3:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.42%chance

221310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

639

68

Will Spaceballs 2 have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating than Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu?

May 22, 2:19 AMJan 1, 3:17 AM

61.72%chance

11380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1270

788

Will the Live-Action Legend of Zelda movie be “Certified Fresh” on Rotten Tomatoes? [Multiple Choice]

Nov 10, 8:26 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

9293

OptionProbability

Yes, it will be Certified Fresh (75% or higher)

No, but it will Non-Certified Fresh (60%-74%)

No, it will be Rotten (Less than 60%)

No live-action Legend of Zelda movie will release by market close

36

34

26

4

Will "The Mandalorian" season 4 have a audience score of >=80% on Rotten Tomatoes?

May 7, 6:30 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

43.86%chance

8277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

78

63

The Simpsons Movie 2 scores 70%+ on Rotten Tomatoes? Critics score

Oct 27, 7:31 AMAug 2, 6:59 AM

45%chance

14221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Will the Death Stranding movie get over 74% on Rotten Tomatoes?

Dec 15, 5:35 AMDec 22, 7:59 AM

43.36%chance

10218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

265

152

Birth (2004) reaches >70% Tomatometer before 2035?

Oct 20, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.58%chance

4189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

66

Will there be 50 or more films on the Wikipedia list of 0% on Rotten Tomatoes by the end of 2029?

Mar 13, 5:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.08%chance

552

OptionVotes

NO

YES

209

191

Will Tomás Bjartur get girlfriend by 2030

Oct 17, 1:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Baron Tomago Stock

May 10, 11:02 PMMay 11, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

NO

YES

50

50

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