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Prediction markets for Tony Awards

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win any of these awards or prizes before 2040?

Mar 12, 7:22 AMFeb 2, 1:29 PM

18.88%chance

23632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

207

48

Will there be a new EGOT by the end of 2026?

Mar 3, 9:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.52%chance

9224

OptionVotes

YES

NO

378

269

Who will win the next EGOT? 🏆🏆🏆🏆

Feb 19, 12:01 AMApr 1, 6:59 AM

13154

OptionProbability

Kate Winslet

Lin Manuel-Miranda

Other

Hugh Jackman

Trey Parker

Billy Porter

Cynthia Erivo

Ron Howard

27

25

19

10

7

4

4

2

Will Book of Mormon still be performing shows on Broadway on Jan 1st 2030?

Dec 4, 6:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM

64.83%chance

11149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

283

102

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