Top 100 News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Top 100
[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.5%chance
404282020
OptionVotes
15748
2869
🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, which films from last time will make it again?
Mar 4, 4:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
286636
OptionProbability
97
97
96
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92
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81
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78
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74
67
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67
67
65
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65
65
63
57
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56
47
Will a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
Oct 29, 1:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
8.77%chance
156407
OptionVotes
3224
310
Putnam Top 100 #3: Will any AI score in the top 100 Putnam scorers by start of 2027?
May 4, 8:33 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
94.77%chance
111418
OptionVotes
379
20
Will the Lobster programming language appear in the TIOBE index (top 100) by the end of 2028?
Jul 22, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM
20%chance
5545
OptionVotes
99
91
Will a xenharmonic song enter the Billboard Top 100 or Spotify Top 100 tracks before 2030?
Jul 19, 2:35 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
40.27%chance
7543
OptionVotes
1218
821
Will someone place in top 8 of a 100+ player Super Smash Bros tournament with a Neuralink controller by end of 2028?
Sep 11, 2:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.01%chance
11476
OptionVotes
300
33
Will "Consider not donating under $100 to political..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 18, 6:44 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
10.44%chance
4353
OptionVotes
1333
954
Will a Top 100 Global Bank collapse or require emergency bailout before 2027?
Feb 25, 4:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.26%chance
8204
OptionVotes
106
85
weird al will release a parody of a billboard top 100 song in 2026
Apr 19, 9:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.29%chance
978
OptionVotes
130
77
Will Bitcoin SV (BSV) be in the CoinMarketCap top 100 on 31 December 2026?
Oct 16, 1:21 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
50%chance
160
OptionVotes
100
100
Will a fully Al-generated song enter the Top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2028?
Oct 12, 9:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.75%chance
212
OptionVotes
110
91

