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Top stories

Mastodon Co-Founder Brent Hinds Dies in Atlanta Motorcycle Crash at 51

Mastodon Co-Founder Brent Hinds Dies in Atlanta Motorcycle Crash at 51

Authors

13

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Top 10

Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?

Oct 5, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

56.76%chance

5824043

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1329

614

Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026?

Mar 30, 10:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.77%chance

237072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1400

714

Will a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?

Mar 15, 4:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

77.38%chance

231145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1801

590

Will the Saudi Pro League be in the top 10 strongest football/soccer leagues in the world by 2030?

Aug 17, 8:26 AMDec 31, 11:00 PM

54.74%chance

261088

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

955

Will any of the top 10 "popular" Webtoons on July 1, 2026 openly use AI art?

Mar 30, 12:08 AMJul 1, 10:59 PM

20%chance

111016

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

Will Max get a permanent position with a research focus at a top 10 university within 5 years of finishing his PhD?

Jun 25, 1:58 PMJul 1, 2:01 PM

47%chance

14753

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

956

Will a Top Level Domain (TLD) other than .com be in the top 10 most expensive domain names before the end of 2028?

Mar 16, 6:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.94%chance

13712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

924

Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?

Apr 7, 3:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.99%chance

23655

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1258

880

Will the UAE be in the top 10 countries in Human Development Index (HDI) in 2031?

Jul 7, 10:22 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.49%chance

4360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1212

825

Will Tumblr be fediblocked by a majority of the top 10 Mastodon instances by MAU, 6 months after implementation?

Dec 8, 8:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.1%chance

18356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1167

911

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20%

Aug 24, 1:11 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

41.03%chance

4202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

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