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Prediction markets for Top 20

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.89%chance

328176705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5396

4954

Will there be an AI-powered trader on Manifold in the top 20 profit leaderboard by end of 2026?

Feb 14, 7:17 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.21%chance

535013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1317

678

🐲 Will I Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2026?

Nov 2, 1:50 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

3.43%chance

134407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5303

189

Will Sam Altman be ranked among the top 20 richest people alive by Forbes in 2040?

Feb 28, 8:35 AMMar 2, 2:59 AM

46.3%chance

261903

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1237

369

Will a Top Level Domain (TLD) other than .com be in the top 20 most expensive domain names before the end of 2028?

Mar 16, 5:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.41%chance

171638

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

851

Will the new programming language Mojo enter the TIOBE Top 20 popularity index before 2027?

May 5, 3:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.03%chance

271624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1766

829

Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?

Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM

72%chance

14346

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

949

Will Canada be TOP 20 in IMO 2026?

Sep 12, 7:49 PMAug 1, 10:59 PM

83%chance

10245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

221

45

Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20%

Aug 24, 1:11 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

41.03%chance

4202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

Will any club in USL's new first division league reach the top 20 of the world's most valuable soccer clubs before 2050?

Mar 24, 6:28 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

Will the Pembroke Welsh Corgi fall out of the top 20 most popular dog breeds according to the AKC by 2029?

Dec 8, 3:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.77%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

64

Will "Turning 20 in the probable pre-apocalypse " make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 23, 9:10 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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