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Prediction markets for Trade to Earn

Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?

Jan 6, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52%chance

3922061

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

961

Will I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027

Mar 4, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.6%chance

194725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2521

397

S&P 500 hits 8000 in 2026?

May 27, 6:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.12%chance

133615

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

849

Will I get hit by a bike before I graduate high school?

May 2, 4:09 PMJun 11, 6:59 PM

19.97%chance

362529

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1350

877

Will the Bilt Mastercard Remain Stable Through 2030?

Jun 18, 4:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.73%chance

101260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2046

535

Will Tyler Cowen create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.5%chance

17950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1703

786

Will Samo Burja create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:30 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.86%chance

13939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1217

741

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.42%chance

15577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

887

Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.88%chance

7439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1421

704

Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

12410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

943

Will Aaron Sorkin return to TV before 2030?

Oct 15, 9:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.16%chance

2155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

866

Will Noah Smith create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.48%chance

10140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1062

937

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