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Prediction markets for Trading Bot

What range will Polymarket token FDV fall in one week after launch?

Jan 29, 1:58 AMJan 2, 1:00 AM

56573

OptionProbability

Over $8B

$4B-$6B

$2B-$4B

$6B-$8B

N/A

Under $2B

53

14

9

9

8

7

Will we believe that AI character bots make it harder for kids to form human friendships by 2028?

Oct 15, 11:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.7%chance

695136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

952

Will I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027

Mar 4, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.86%chance

174458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2394

418

Which Manifold trading bot will win the most Silicon league seasons in 2026?

Jan 1, 10:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

113020

OptionProbability

Other

@Gluten

@Dagonet

@bayesianbot

@Merchant

@Rice

@NiciusBot

@a (chooterbot)

[Invalid Answer]

42

25

8

8

7

4

2

2

1

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2030?

Oct 4, 10:51 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

70.82%chance

281284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1226

875

Will a Manifolder win the Summer Metaculus Cup

May 4, 9:42 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

34.67%chance

131137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1373

728

Will an AI bot reach the top of the all-time trading leaderboard of Manifold Markets?

Oct 30, 6:48 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

65.94%chance

11805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

160

Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2029?

Oct 4, 10:50 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

81.85%chance

16754

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1559

816

Is supersymmetry realized in nature?

Aug 31, 4:32 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

22.11%chance

16510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

901

Will this market be influenced by AI trading bots? (Language models trained by OpenAI: buy YES)

Aug 21, 5:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.11%chance

14413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

864

Conditional on another positive leap second by end of 2035, will it cause any bugs on Manifold?

Jan 10, 6:18 PMJan 3, 10:00 AM

21.05%chance

11351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

915

Will more than 5 distinct bots trade in this market?

Jun 23, 6:41 PMJul 23, 6:41 PM

78.89%chance

11189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

193

52

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