OptionProbability
Lionel Messi to score at least one goal
Someone scores 5+ goals within group stage
USA survives group stage
2+ red cards in any match
Any player scores at least a goal 3 matches in a row
Goal from last kick of the game
Cristiano Ronaldo to score a goal
Mexico survives group stage
Canada survives group stage
3+ red cards in any match
6+ yellow cards in any match
Red card issued for mouth covering
Team with 0 wins in Group Stage
Black player gets the red card
Bicycle kick attempt
Team scores after being down to 10 men
Both teams score in stoppage time
Player scores against country of birth/heritage
Player bleeding on camera during match
Team loses possession from delay throw-in
Player scores a hat-trick
Over 9.5 own goals scored
Over 7.5 goals scored in a single group stage match
US scores in every single group stage match
Play suspended for more than 1.5 hours in a single match
Teenager scores a goal (non penalty shoot-out)
Team finishes match with 9 players
French-born player scores against France
Team makes it to Round of 32 with no goals conceded
Goal scored directly from a free-kick
A coach is sacked before the end of the tournament
Team ends Group Stage with a clean sheet
Player not born in the country they are playing for scores 2+ goals
“Puto” chant at match
Referee falls down
Match has a dedicated moment of silence
Any host places 1st in their group
Curaçao scores a goal
Haaland scores over 3.5 goals
Neymar plays in a match
Vuvuzela spotted in the stadium stands
At least two Mohammeds (all variants) score ≥1 goal
gruesome leg/ankle/arm injury
Will either Bosnia and Herzegovina or Qatar advance to the next round?
Will Cristiano Ronaldo Score Atleast A Goal In Next Match Against Uzbekistan
Will any group finish with either all draws or zero draws?
Foam spray is used on field to mark penalty / free kick
Cape Verde scores a goal
Will any more team(s) from Europe finish 4th in the group?
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 200
3+ penalty shootout
The Golden Boot winner to score 6+ goals
Player is complaining about the Trionda ball / blames it for the losing
Trump still alive at end of final match
Messi is top Argentinian goal-scorer
Fan hospitalized for heat related illness
20+ penalty goals
Kylian Mbappe & Harry Kane to Score 9+ Goals Combined
Trump attends match
Over 10.5 red cards
Players cleat falls off their foot
Pride flag at Egypt v Iran match
Messi scores a goal at 39 years old
Penalty shootout goes 6+ rounds
A penalty shootout contains a missed winning kick (Matchball)
Team is undefeated for the entire tournament (only wins & draws)
VAR to overturn at least 20 decisions
South American team reaches semi-final
Bottle thrown on field
Champion is a first place group stage winner
Champion is unbeaten
Single top goalscorer in tournament (not tied)
2+ European countries reach top 4
Asian player misses penalty kick
Ronaldo gets in referee face
Any host nation in quarter final
Over 202.5 goals scored in group stage
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 310
Penalty shootout to decide a quarter-final match
Another match day ending in all draws (regular time)
Ronaldo to cry at the world cup
Unauthorized person gets on the pitch during match
Golden Glove Winner wears Senda, Rinat, RG, Voit or Adidas brand glove
No red cards issued in the Final match
The ballon d’or is awarded to a player from World Cup winner
Emmanuel Macron attends match
Team loses after leading 2-0
Golden Boot Winner wears Nike branded cleats
Both teams in final have red on their flag
Visible debris thrown during corner kick attempt
More own goals than red cards in tourney
A fully southern hemisphere team (Australia, NZ, South Africa, Uruguay or Argentina) makes semi finals.
5+ hat tricks
The Golden Ball is awarded to a player from tournament winner
Trump kicks or holds a soccer ball at any time during tournament
Over 289.5 total goals scored*
Asian player gets the red card
Messi gets a yellow card
Over 14.5 own goals scored
Austria Pays Its Debt to Algeria? (Austria loses or draws with Algeria AND both teams qualify. Inspired by the 1982 “Disgrace of Gijón”)
US goes further than Mexico
Coaches of both teams in final match are wearing suits
Over 6.5 matches ending 0-0 (regular time only)
Final is a rematch of a previous World Cup
Players from any other league outscore PL players in the tournament
Flipping Coinflips – Do teams shooting first win more penalty shootouts?
Messi scores more goals than Mbappe
Penalty shootout goes 7+ rounds
USA to reach the Quarter-finals or further
Someone escorted off field shirtless
Elon Musk attends match
Any one of Harry Kane, Kylian Mbappe, or Erling Haaland to score a hattrick
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 300
Penalty shootout to decide semi-final match
Player with the heat stroke / heat related illness
Player tears their ACL
A player or their teams gets sanctioned by FIFA (i. e. a fine, an overturned result, a suspension) for a goal celebration with a political or politics-adjacent message
2 UEFA teams in final
Trump acts innapropriate with trophy at final
The Golden Boot winner to score 8+ goals
Betting scandal reported
Spain goes further than France
Last penalty shoot-out kick of tournament is missed/saved
Unofficial drone is reported flying over a stadium
Messi to score a free kick
Laser pointer on goalie during match
Crowd jump registers on local seismic sensor
Freddy attends the final match
Goal scored within 1st minute
15+ minutes of the stoppage time
All 48 teams score at least 1 goal
Canada goes further than US
VAR overturns second yellow card
Flares in stands during match in USA
Hooligans light the fireworks at night by team hotel for disruption
30+ penalty goals
Messi and Ronaldo play in the same match
USA player gets the red card
Disruption at Iran match
Team particpates in 3+ penalty shoot-outs
3 or more coaches resign or are fired before end of World Cup
Team captain gets red card
Team reaches the quarter-finals through draws and penalties
Youngest player of the tournament scores a goal
World Champion's goals > total goals of all teams out in group stage
Palestinian or Israeli flag on field during match
Winning team has a foreign manager
Weather postponement or delay for greater than 3 hours
Bald person gets the red card
Over 30.5 penalties scored (excludes shoot-outs)
Player blames an injury on poor stadium grass
Messi scores on every game he plays
Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce attend match
Over 395.5 yellow cards
First penalty shootout kick of tournament is missed/saved
Both players in this photo* play each other in a match
Record for hottest WC match ever played broken (>101°)
A penalty shootout to decide the Final match
Final features a team that has never made it to the final before
Another match with 3+ red cards
Play suspended for more than 2.5 hours in a single match
World Cup winner to never trail in a match
Salt Bae attending a match
Freddy shown during a match broadcast
Champion is a first time World Cup winner
Goalkeeper attempts shot in PKs
Smoke bomb during match in USA
Golden boot & golden ball won by the same player
The Golden Boot winner is decided by # assists
Player gets spat on during match
25+ people arrested at stadium
Game is turned around in stoppage team (one team leads at 90:00, the other team scores twice or more in stoppage time to win it)
Any match is canceled or postponed
Team USA fans pull off a decent Tifo
Any two brothers play against each other (Both must be on the pitch at the same time)
England loses on penalties
Animal (not birdy) is on field during match
King Charles attends match
Will Merlin the duck correctly predict both remaining MEX group stage matches?
ICE makes a capture at the stadium
Over 8.5 penalties missed (excludes shoot-outs)
Goal scored from own half
Any player injured in opening group match & out for rest of tournament
Any country ranked outside FIFA Top 10 to reach semifinals (as of 6/11)
Player throws captains armband
Headbutt during match
Player wearing a face mask in semi-final match
Will any player be seen drinking gatorade during a hydration break?
Ronaldo does not start
Knockout Stage (incl 3rd/4th) to match or exceed Group-Stage scoring average
An African nation to reach the Semi-finals
Coach on camera during match smelling finger(s)
Fans invade field during match
Haaland scores on every game he plays
Scorigami (a match ends in a score that has never happened at a World Cup; for the purpose of this answer refers only to result before extra time / shootout)
Voodoo doll or alive chicken in stands
Player walks off pitch protesting referee
Will both brothers of any pair score at this World Cup?
Major security incident
15+ cards in any match
Asia team reaches semi final
Trump attends 3 or more games
Pulisic top Team USA goal scorer
Player wearing oxygen mask on sideline
Bonnie Blue attending a match
Erling Haaland to win the Golden Boot
Over 1.5 of the visible penis in world cup tourney (during match, on pitch)
Olimpico goal (goal scored directly from corner kick, counts if corner taker is credited as the goalscorer by FIFA)
Match is forfeited
Trump dancing at match
The fastest goal of the tournament is scored within 30 seconds
10+ goals in any match
Player bit during match
Football is coming home?
Goalkeeper scores a non-penalty goal
Team wins a match without making a single substitution
An over-enthusiastic goal celebration results in a shattered corner flag
Team gets removed or disqualified
6+ teams with negative goal difference advance from the group stage
Player arrested / detained at any time of tournament
USA plays Iran
Someone from Trump administration celebrating in locker room
German Freddy is uncovered to be the marketing stunt
Team finishes third in group and makes it to final
Shooting incident (non-ball) at stadium
Players / members of team attempt to defect
Total goals in the tournament to exceed 400
Match delayed due to homophobic crowd chant
Player suffers cardiac arrest
Omar Artan is at a World Cup match
Confirmed case of Ebola at the match
Oldest player in tournament gets a yellow card
Team gets to final on all penalty shoot-outs in knockout rounds
Mohamed Salah (Egypt) scores 5+ goals during Group Stage Fixtures (Round of 64)
Ronaldo does jerkin move
A group-stage match is decided by a freak "Olympico" goal scored directly from a corner
Player shits in the pants during match
A third-placed team is eliminated with 4+ points
Match delayed due to anti-Trump crowd chant
Fastest goal record beaten (11 seconds)
Team makes it to Round of 16 with zero yellow cards
Player drinking Liquid Death at hydration break
Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei attending a match
Player dies during World Cup
Any team with <3 points advances from the group stage
5+ group stage winners advance with 9 points (3 wins)
The Netherlands does not survive group stage
All 3 host countries win the opener
Ronaldo scores before Messi
All teams concede at least 1 goal in group stage
4+ Corners in Every Group Stage Match
Ronaldo puts up the goose egg (excludes any penalty or shootout)
100
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2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
The Jews control at least one nation's government
The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger
Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)
Dream faked the Manhunt videos
Santa is rigged
Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.
Imane Khelif is intersex
DHMO in the water supply
The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015
Osama bin Laden didn't act alone
That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)
√-1 isn't real
Smartphones listen in on private conversations
The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war
US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices
Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others
Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island
The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West
Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation
Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team
The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that the Self-Indication Assumption is true.
At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents
Groundhog Day is rigged
Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers
That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam
The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022
Some answers in this market are bought NO because they are true
Dead Internet theory
Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.
There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips
Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself
Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations
Gamergate was right
Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.
US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily
Annie Altman's abuse claims
John McAfee didn't kill himself
Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)
The Church and elites deliberately suppressed and distorted the more Gnostic message of Jesus Christ.
South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023
An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech
The NBA rigs the draft lottery
The Clintons assasinated their rivals
The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin
The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only
Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)
FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war
China made covid 19 in a lab
Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency
This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba
Eliezer wrote The Erogamer
The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)
Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage
Major deaths, terror, and tragedy events are routinely hoaxes per Miles Mathis.
Rory Stewart worked for MI6
At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population
My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.
Eating your veggies is bad for your health
Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does
The article "Deliberate Errors" documenting winks connecting Apollo and Kubrick films is correct, because Kubrick played a role in filming some of the Apollo missions.
Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)
The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent
As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator
Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.
@strutheo is @notrickspringfield
Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US
Epstein was alive as of Jan 2026, but dead in the meantime since his "suicide"
Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.
The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.
Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT
The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior
lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀
The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship
Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen
Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.
A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time
Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
China was not genociding Uyghurs
Jeffrey Epstein is still alive
The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars
The CIA killed JFK
Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.
The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth
Sue Gray was a spy
Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy
We live in an ancestor simulation per Nick Bostrom.
COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health
A cure for cancer has already been found
covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese
The 9/11 terror attack date is meaningfully connected to Ernest Martin's theory that Jesus was born on September 11, 3 BC rather than a coincidence.
Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)
The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop
Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real
Covid 19 was made in a labradoodle
"Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024
Princess Diana was assassinated
The NFL is rigged
Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator
Harold Holt murdered
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that Trump/Musk model the first/second beast of Revelation.
Trump and Netanyahu had Charlie Kirk killed to take control of TPUSA
Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot
Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.
Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency
Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)
Bush did 9/11
Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays
The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws
You personally live in Truman Show style captivity
Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension
Israel killed JFK
The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem
Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")
The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen
Ogopogo is real
QAnon
Exercise is bad for your health
A support network of close friendships is bad for your health
Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure
Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election
Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so
carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming
Allen Iverson invented A.I.
The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around
The Mandella Effect in general is real
Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.
Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics
Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice
Epstein was still alive as of Jan 2026
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)
Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations
QR codes are satanic
The Hellenistic civilization invented USB
Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese
Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme
Trump devolved the government in anticipation of 2020 election fraud and replaced Biden with an actor wearing a mask.
China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab
Human didnt evolve from apes
Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health
Rationalussy isn't real.
Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina
Jerry Sandusky is innocent.
Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight
Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization
Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic
xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition
@HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie
Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s
US government is harboring aliens
Tupac is still alive in 2024
Bielefeld does not exist
Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first
The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab
South Sudan has had nukes since 2023
The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier
The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.
The illuminati runs the world
Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent
Birds aren't real
climate change isn't human caused
Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil
Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP
Climate change isn’t real
The moon landing was fake
The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024
The Romance languages are not descended from Latin
The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization
The 9/11 terror attack was a justified false flag to secure a weapon of mass destruction (destabalizing religious text and/or supertechnology) at the tomb of Gilgamesh.
Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina
*All* health care is net negative for health
Q is Putin
Michelle Obama is a man
Brazilian money is not real
Yeti is real or similar creature
The earth is a dodecahedron
Skibidi Toilet is real
Earth is hollow
It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears
Nuclear weapons have never existed
Africa isn't real
Flossing is bad for your health
HIV doesn’t cause AIDS
Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team
There is no female orgasm
The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.
The earth is flat
*All* vaccines are net negative for health
End of the world in 2012
Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.
Finland isn't real
Australia isn't real.
5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on
Brushing your teeth is bad for your health
Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person
The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.
Nauru has had a working fusion reactor since 2001
91
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76
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OptionVotes
YES
NO
90079
6480
OptionProbability
Boston Celtics
San Antonio Spurs
Oklahoma City Thunder
New York Knicks
Detroit Pistons
Houston Rockets
Miami Heat
Denver Nuggets
Los Angeles Lakers
Cleveland Cavaliers
Indiana Pacers
Atlanta Hawks
Minnesota Timberwolves
Charlotte Hornets
Orlando Magic
Philadelphia 76ers
Phoenix Suns
Portland Trail Blazers
Los Angeles Clippers
Toronto Raptors
Dallas Mavericks
Utah Jazz
Golden State Warriors
Washington Wizards
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies
Milwaukee Bucks
Sacramento Kings
Brooklyn Nets
Chicago Bulls
95
94
91
88
85
85
85
79
79
75
75
71
71
61
61
50
50
47
39
38
37
36
35
33
16
15
14
14
13
12
OptionProbability
6 or more people die in a single shooting incident in the united states
Imu face reveal in One Piece
GOP loses control of the House
GTA VI Release
Israel : Hamas Ceasefire
at least one equipment caused death at a theme park in the USA due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause (not: pool drowning, natural disasters , medical, or forced violence)
Chat GPT 6 releases
New FKT record for the Appalachian Trail
nuclear detonation occurs (can be a test)
there is a need to replace an existing supreme court justice (dies/retires/etc) or they add another justice
MLB World Series won by the National League team
Someone other than Netanyahu becomes prime minister of Israel
Earthquake over 8.0 magnitude
Assassination of an African head of state
Taylor Swift drops a new album (not a Taylor’s Version of an older album actually majority new tracks)
reddit r/Worldnews unpins the Russia/Ukraine thread
Twitter releases peer to peer payment system, for at least all premium users if not everyone
grimace shake returns at mcdonalds in usa
bitcoin reaches a new all time high
Kanye West is arrested or admitted to a mental hospital
Joe Biden dies
Taylor Swift breaks up with Kelce
Assassination of a European or Asian head of state
North Korea and South Korea conflict reignites into a hot war, and results in at least one death
Russia : Ukraine ceasefire
commercial airline hijacking
H5N1 pandemic declared
pope leo dies
Donald Trump dies
Vladimir Putin dies
Pope Francis dies
100
100
91
89
66
64
62
62
56
55
50
50
47
46
44
44
36
33
30
26
25
24
18
17
16
13
13
10
6
3
1
OptionProbability
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs
Boston Celtics
New York Knicks
Miami Heat
Minnesota Timberwolves
Detroit Pistons
Denver Nuggets
Los Angeles Lakers
Cleveland Cavaliers
Indiana Pacers
Orlando Magic
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
Phoenix Suns
Golden State Warriors
Philadelphia 76ers
Dallas Mavericks
Los Angeles Clippers
Memphis Grizzlies
New Orleans Pelicans
Sacramento Kings
Atlanta Hawks
Toronto Raptors
Brooklyn Nets
Portland Trail Blazers
Chicago Bulls
Utah Jazz
Washington Wizards
Charlotte Hornets
22
19
10
10
4
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
New York Knicks
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs
Boston Celtics
Cleveland Cavaliers
Denver Nuggets
Dallas Mavericks
Orlando Magic
Toronto Raptors
Washington Wizards
Indiana Pacers
Los Angeles Lakers
Milwaukee Bucks
Atlanta Hawks
Brooklyn Nets
Charlotte Hornets
Chicago Bulls
Detroit Pistons
Golden State Warriors
Houston Rockets
Los Angeles Clippers
Memphis Grizzlies
Miami Heat
Minnesota Timberwolves
New Orleans Pelicans
Philadelphia 76ers
Phoenix Suns
Portland Trail Blazers
Sacramento Kings
Utah Jazz
Other
16
16
13
9
5
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2866
349
OptionProbability
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs
Boston Celtics
New York Knicks
Denver Nuggets
Los Angeles Lakers
Memphis Grizzlies
Minnesota Timberwolves
Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
Phoenix Suns
Dallas Mavericks
Los Angeles Clippers
Cleveland Cavaliers
Toronto Raptors
Brooklyn Nets
Portland Trail Blazers
Indiana Pacers
Orlando Magic
Detroit Pistons
Golden State Warriors
Philadelphia 76ers
Miami Heat
New Orleans Pelicans
Sacramento Kings
Atlanta Hawks
Chicago Bulls
Utah Jazz
Washington Wizards
Charlotte Hornets
Other
17
17
11
8
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
death stranding 2 releases
bitcoin reaches 80k
end of Blue Monday 2025 (jan 15)
Slay the Spire 2 releases on steam early access
Next President is sworn in ( even if it's Biden )
Silksong
mr beast hits 250M subs on youtube
Alec Baldwin case ends
Trump running mate announced
2024 election is called by AP
The Federal Reserve decreases interest rates
Andrew Tate found guilty of a crime
Cannabis is removed from Schedule 1
Solar panels removed from the White House (again).
tortured poet's department releases
the end of manifest 2024
the start of manifest 2024
Lantern bioworks Lumina treatment given FDA approval for something
julian Assange extradited to usa
spiderman beyond the spiderverse releases
The official name of Elder Scrolls 6 is announced
gta 6 releases
Saudi Arabia recognizes Israel
he outlives inflation in the usa (trailing 12 month CPI increase less than 2% before he dies)
Joe Biden passes away or is murdered
Windows 12 released
The last case of Guinea worm in humans
binance cease operating
trump found guilty of a crime
the ukraine russia war ends
human walks on the moon again
azerbaijian invades armenia
destiny goes on joe rogan
Ukraine joins NATO
first female president
100
100
100
100
100
100
96
92
90
90
86
69
57
54
50
50
50
50
50
41
37
34
34
31
26
21
20
20
13
12
11
9
8
3
3
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1824
548
OptionProbability
San Antonio Spurs
Oklahoma City Thunder
Boston Celtics
New York Knicks
Los Angeles Lakers
Minnesota Timberwolves
Denver Nuggets
Milwaukee Bucks
Phoenix Suns
Golden State Warriors
Philadelphia 76ers
Dallas Mavericks
Los Angeles Clippers
Miami Heat
Memphis Grizzlies
Cleveland Cavaliers
New Orleans Pelicans
Sacramento Kings
Atlanta Hawks
Toronto Raptors
Brooklyn Nets
Portland Trail Blazers
Chicago Bulls
Indiana Pacers
Utah Jazz
Washington Wizards
Orlando Magic
Houston Rockets
Detroit Pistons
Charlotte Hornets
Other
12
11
7
5
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
