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Training Task 10 News
Prediction markets for Training Task 10
Prediction markets for Training Task 10
Are LLMs capable of reaching AGI?
Oct 19, 6:00 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
50.2%
chance
116
36496
Option
Votes
YES
NO
14299
6435
Will we get AGI before a human walks on the Moon again?
Dec 31, 1:07 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
30.06%
chance
83
8678
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1403
1181
Will we get AGI before a human walks on Mars?
Dec 31, 2:25 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
73.91%
chance
64
3562
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1741
1054
Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?
Mar 10, 12:47 PM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
61.79%
chance
25
1176
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1071
949
Will brain organoid computing solve a problem which is infeasible using existing digital AI in the next 10 years?
Jan 10, 7:54 PM
Jan 17, 10:59 PM
23.46%
chance
23
806
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1178
923
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