OptionProbability
1+ days
30+ days
365+ days
180+ days
730+ days
1825+ days
0 days
100
55
54
46
22
0
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with minimal concessions
Deal with major concessions
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Balkanization/long civil war
Venezuela-style puppet state
Voluntary transition of power
35
28
26
4
3
2
1
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1175
865
Jan 1, 2027 to April 30, 2027
May 1, 2027 to August 31, 2027
September 1, 2027 or later
Before Jan 1, 2027
27
18
115
87
