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Prediction markets for Transgender

Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people?

Sep 4, 10:01 PMJan 4, 10:53 PM

19.99%chance

498301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2001

500

Will Kimmy's transgender (mtf) passport get revoked before its natural expiry date (end of 2028)?

Jan 21, 4:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.71%chance

205180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1899

527

Will there be a transgender FIDE chess grandmaster by the end of 2026?

Jun 13, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.97%chance

264816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3005

333

Before the end of 2035, will plurality become as common in the US as transgenderness was in 2022?

Dec 15, 5:16 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

13.68%chance

703957

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1799

843

Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?

Feb 16, 5:10 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

29.77%chance

363321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1536

651

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM

44.21%chance

463034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

996

951

Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people?

Sep 5, 9:57 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

20.35%chance

202988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1978

506

Will any country in the world have a transgender head of state by 2050?

Apr 15, 3:26 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

70.73%chance

262266

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1365

799

By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak

Sep 27, 2:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.48%chance

261276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

800

By 2050, will development of biotechnology and genetic engineering render term "transgender" useless?

Sep 18, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

14.92%chance

181155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1511

918

Will FIDE lift restrictions on transgender players by the end of 2027?

Aug 24, 7:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

58.87%chance

22827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1210

454

Will Texas enact a law restricting HRT access for transgender adults before 2032?

Mar 19, 6:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.65%chance

13436

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1098

911

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