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Prediction markets for Transgender

Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people?

Sep 4, 10:01 PMJan 4, 10:53 PM

20.07%chance

488296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1996

501

Will it be illegal to be openly transgender in any part of the United States by 2030?

Aug 28, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.09%chance

665575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

874

Will Kimmy's transgender (mtf) passport get revoked before its natural expiry date (end of 2028)?

Jan 21, 4:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.62%chance

204917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2162

462

Will there be a transgender FIDE chess grandmaster by the end of 2026?

Jun 13, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.64%chance

254566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2755

363

Before the end of 2035, will plurality become as common in the US as transgenderness was in 2022?

Dec 15, 5:16 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

13.68%chance

703957

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1799

843

Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?

Feb 16, 5:10 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

26.54%chance

363271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1664

601

Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people?

Sep 5, 9:57 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

20.35%chance

202988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1978

506

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM

53.02%chance

442859

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1116

821

Will testosterone for transgender HRT be available in the US on 2026-08-01?

Nov 15, 8:12 PMAug 16, 5:59 AM

81.03%chance

122079

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2067

484

By 2050, will development of biotechnology and genetic engineering render term "transgender" useless?

Sep 18, 7:34 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

14.37%chance

171146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1563

909

By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak

Sep 27, 2:45 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.15%chance

251026

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

975

Will FIDE lift restrictions on transgender players by the end of 2027?

Aug 24, 7:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

63.69%chance

21777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

533

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