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Prediction markets for Trending

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.1%chance

455323493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2699

2492

Melania’s hat will become a trend

Jan 20, 7:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.49%chance

228454

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2533

395

Will EA sentiment surrounding SBF trend positive by 2040?

Nov 15, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.26%chance

412853

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2108

822

If Kamala Harris is elected President, will the term "bitch" in google trends exceed its recorded high from July 2015?

Nov 3, 3:24 AMJan 20, 5:59 AM

38.28%chance

232367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1270

787

Will GLP-1 agonists help stop or reverse the US obesity trend by end of 2027

Apr 29, 12:40 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

81.45%chance

332254

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1725

697

Will “woke (topic)” be more popular in the US on Google Trends five years from now than today?

Jun 4, 8:20 PMJun 5, 3:59 AM

23.98%chance

111317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1781

562

After the 2026 midterms, will I feel like US culture has trended towards greater wokeness in the 2 years prior?

Jan 3, 8:19 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

26.05%chance

8685

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1685

593

Google Trends: Will "bitcoin" search hit all-time high before 2030?

Feb 5, 9:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

44.32%chance

6672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1121

892

Will CS degrees trend down?

Mar 20, 10:58 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

28.41%chance

22524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

980

Will public sentiment surrounding SBF trend positive by 2040?

Nov 15, 6:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.67%chance

14496

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1207

943

Is the downward secular trend in female puberty mostly genetic?

Apr 8, 2:58 AMApr 9, 6:59 AM

10.05%chance

12376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1330

926

Will there be a trend spike for the term "Kabbalah" before 2035?

Mar 7, 3:22 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

79.42%chance

3289

OptionVotes

NO

YES

196

51

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