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Prediction markets for Tria

Will AOH1996 succeed in Phase I trial?

Aug 3, 6:20 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

72.56%chance

8811208

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1843

1480

Will the VLA15 Lyme Disease vaccine "pass" its phase 3 human trial?

Aug 11, 4:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.18%chance

1014255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1805

1467

Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?

May 17, 11:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.9%chance

241876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4120

3063

By 2040 will we use Simulated Humans in Clinical Trials to accelerate drug development & approvals as Kurzweil Predicts?

Mar 8, 9:38 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

35%chance

201677

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1044

886

Will human tooth regrowth clinical trials succeed?

Aug 9, 8:22 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.8%chance

281090

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1428

218

Will Altos Labs trial an anti-aging intervention in humans by 2030?

Feb 19, 3:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.46%chance

24998

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1124

618

Will an artificial intelligence or digital person be named as a party in a criminal trial in the USA by EOY 2048?

Apr 5, 5:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

13621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

990

Will a drug that didn't go through human clinical trials be approved by 2034?

Apr 14, 7:22 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.82%chance

22556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

945

Will Filippo Ganna win another UCI World Championship Time Trial title (in the men's elite class)?

Sep 5, 1:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

61.65%chance

11519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

862

Will Apple have a significant change in business practices due the United States v. Apple trial?

Mar 26, 7:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.03%chance

12387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

943

Triangle stock [permanent]

Apr 4, 1:30 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

73.36%chance

13245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

987

Will trials show DDL-920 effectiveness in humans?

Aug 9, 7:22 AMAug 16, 6:59 PM

50.51%chance

4150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1078

1062

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