Trigger Warning News

YES

Vacant House seats at start of term

Market chaos

Bonus market chaos

Bonus underlying chaos

Any state misses filing deadlines for certified results

Multiple Speaker ballots, or failure to elect a Speaker on the first day

Vacant Senate seats at start of term

Congress refuses to accept any certified result

New election ordered for any seat

Any member seated who was not the winner

Majority control discrepancy in the Senate

Majority control discrepancy in the House

Any major news organization retracts a call

Failure to establish a quorum in first roll-call vote (either chamber)

Any member-elect changes parties

Senator not up for re-election changes party

Any election delayed

Any member-elect denied the oath of office

YES

2026

2027

2030 and after. . . or we're all dead before the news comes out.

2028

YES

YES

YES