Troubles News

Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration?

Feb 27, 4:46 AMJan 20, 2:59 AM

7.22%chance

8356330

OptionVotes

YES

35858

2789

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Mar 7, 1:33 AMMar 14, 1:28 AM

20049319

OptionProbability

YES - The AI, without being prompted to, took actions to breach its sandbox, including to gain crypto and an external connection

NO - The authors are wrong/lying and there was no such hack

NO - The servers were hacked by an outside party, perhaps via prompt injection

NO - An employee (or other insider) was crypto-mining and made it look like the LLM

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Nov 10, 6:14 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

60.47%chance

19242620

OptionVotes

YES

10568

9573

Will anyone solve my partner's depression before 2027? [M$1,000,000 bounty]

Sep 29, 5:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.93%chance

5117097

OptionVotes

YES

22150

4515

Will Koi be the first species we uplift?

Dec 20, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.02%chance

748854

OptionVotes

YES

2589

1201

Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026?

Jan 2, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.99%chance

322998

OptionVotes

YES

396

If I expand my trading dashboard to cover other real money markets, will I get into legal trouble?

Jan 11, 1:12 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10.22%chance

112318

OptionVotes

YES

2964

337

🎗️ Will CharityVest experience significant financial trouble that puts donors' accounts at risk?

Mar 4, 5:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.24%chance

11554

OptionVotes

YES

1196

889

As a school teacher, will Tumbles get in trouble for his online activities? (by 2029)

Aug 25, 10:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.72%chance

12337

OptionVotes

YES

109

Will a major US newspaper with at least 150 years of history partner with a top LLM (top ten by usage) by mid '29

Mar 7, 10:25 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

56%chance

3128

OptionVotes

YES

1128

886

Will there be a sequel/remake to 'Big Trouble in Little China' announced before Jan 1st 2029?

Dec 14, 3:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.59%chance

687

OptionVotes

YES

185

117

What is the best way to organize a radical retirement polycule collective to ensure mutual support through the troubles?

Oct 9, 2:46 PM

Troubles News

Prediction markets for Troubles

Prediction markets for Troubles

Prediction markets for Troubles

Will president Trump mint the coin at any point during his administration?

Did Alibaba's ROME AI try to breach its sandbox during training?

Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Will anyone solve my partner's depression before 2027? [M$1,000,000 bounty]

Will Koi be the first species we uplift?

Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026?

If I expand my trading dashboard to cover other real money markets, will I get into legal trouble?

🎗️ Will CharityVest experience significant financial trouble that puts donors' accounts at risk?

As a school teacher, will Tumbles get in trouble for his online activities? (by 2029)

Will a major US newspaper with at least 150 years of history partner with a top LLM (top ten by usage) by mid '29

Will there be a sequel/remake to 'Big Trouble in Little China' announced before Jan 1st 2029?

What is the best way to organize a radical retirement polycule collective to ensure mutual support through the troubles?

Latest stories