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Prediction markets for Truck

Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:26 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.9%chance

7010719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2233

521

Will any car or truck with a solid state battery be delivered in the United States before EOY 2025

Jan 25, 6:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.69%chance

187338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1862

757

Will the number of truck drivers in the US more than halve before 2029?

Jul 19, 1:22 PMJun 29, 10:01 PM

14.14%chance

463278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2050

600

What proportion new car/suv/light truck sales will be hydrogen powered in 2030?

Mar 16, 10:57 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

4.07%chance

212895

OptionProbability

YES

NO

3211

695

Will the trucking industry be automated by end of 2030?

Apr 21, 2:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.17%chance

302131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

795

Will a Tesla car or truck transport a SpaceX rocket by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

18.31%chance

371949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

946

Will more than 200,000 US truck drivers lose their jobs by 2028?

May 7, 2:25 AMMay 1, 10:59 PM

20.21%chance

241815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1839

634

Will the BLS show growth in delivery truck driver employment through 2029?

May 7, 9:29 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

52.15%chance

12410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

876

Will more than 200,000 US truck drivers lose their jobs by 2026?

May 7, 1:55 AMMay 1, 10:59 PM

13.88%chance

10394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1114

960

What percent of US trucking will be fully autonomous by 2030?

May 3, 12:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.03%chance

16386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

45

Will the '24 CA "Advanced Clean Trucks" requirements be successfully implemented?

Jun 8, 12:49 PMDec 31, 6:01 AM

69.62%chance

2385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

928

346

Will Aurora Innovation's self-driving trucks drive 100M miles by March 2027?

Mar 16, 8:43 AMMar 15, 6:59 AM

21.31%chance

5130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

290

97

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