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Prediction markets for Trump Trade

Will Trump's 2nd Presidential term last exactly 42 months?

Nov 8, 12:33 AMAug 20, 3:59 AM

1.88%chance

2148226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

41008

1368

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

61.49%chance

2133381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12451

8103

Will the Dallas Mavericks "win" the Luka trade?

Feb 3, 5:39 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

24.36%chance

2025690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10819

3069

Will Maduro die in U.S. custody?

Jan 3, 7:52 PMFeb 28, 7:51 PM

39%chance

7510351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

173

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026

Jan 13, 11:54 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM

62.66%chance

466733

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1296

772

Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2026?

Apr 21, 7:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.93%chance

235710

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

906

Will there be evidence of insider trading by any Trump administration official for the events of April 9th.

Apr 10, 3:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.55%chance

322065

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Tangible evidence of senior Trump officials trading on insider tariff info before 2030?

Apr 9, 9:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

13552

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?

Nov 8, 3:18 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31.94%chance

13498

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1056

843

Are Trump’s Tariffs part of a strategy to restructure the US Debt, Dollar, Trade & Global Financial System? 🇺🇸🏛️🤑

Apr 4, 11:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

8.58%chance

10437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

330

31

Will the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term

Mar 15, 1:42 AMNov 5, 3:59 AM

60%chance

6237

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

82

Trump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?

Jul 11, 6:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.71%chance

13202

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

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