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Prediction markets for Trust Project

Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos?

Apr 11, 11:35 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

15.27%chance

4229826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1834

771

Is Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?

Mar 11, 6:04 PMDec 31, 5:21 PM

5.14%chance

447865

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4297

233

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

53421

OptionProbability

Gallium

Germanium

Neodymium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

11

11

10

9

8

8

8

6

6

6

6

6

5

Will Platner, El-Sayed, and Talarico all win their Senate seats?

Jun 5, 2:37 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

24.3%chance

162415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3459

1202

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

141630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1809

1260

Will Spaceballs 2 have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating than Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu?

May 22, 2:19 AMJan 1, 3:17 AM

61.72%chance

11380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1270

788

Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?

May 28, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65%chance

10156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

73

Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026?

Apr 27, 3:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

5132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will a new theatrical Star Trek movie be released on or before January 30, 2030 (1/30/30)?

Jun 20, 11:09 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

66%chance

4128

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

90

Who will win the Republican Senate Primary Runoff in Louisiana?

Jun 24, 6:31 PMJun 28, 1:00 AM

5125

OptionProbability

Julia Letlow

John Fleming

82

18

The 2026 MLB World Series will be tied 2-2 or stand at 4-0 after Game 4.

Jun 12, 9:26 PMNov 14, 2:15 PM

59.24%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

92

Will Jose Luis Ricon live to see 600ppm

May 12, 11:57 PMMay 12, 11:57 PM

51.96%chance

14

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

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