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Prediction markets for Trust Project

Is Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?

Mar 11, 6:04 PMDec 31, 5:21 PM

6.04%chance

447726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3946

253

Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos?

Apr 11, 11:35 PMDec 31, 11:30 PM

41.02%chance

171901

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

712

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.79%chance

141630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1809

1260

will gta 6 come out before the end of 2026

Apr 18, 9:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

181137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

153

65

When will global population peak?

May 6, 10:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3583

OptionProbability

2065-2070

2060-2064

2071 or after

2055-2059

2050-2054

2045-2049

2040-2044

2034 or before

2035-2039

20

19

17

16

8

7

6

3

3

Stephen Casper: by EOY2026, a system with comparable cyber capabilities to Mythos will be widely available?

Apr 10, 9:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.93%chance

3177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

237

42

Who will play Maxima in Superman: Man of Tomorrow?

Apr 8, 11:13 PMJul 8, 11:06 PM

3170

OptionProbability

Adria Arjona

Other

Sydney Chandler

Grace Van Patten

84

12

2

2

Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026?

Apr 27, 3:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

5132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Will Don Trump Jr be married in a new East Wing Ballroom currently in randomly changing states or construction?

Apr 27, 9:48 PMJan 19, 10:46 PM

18%chance

3120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

Will Bryan Johnson date someone with an over 26 year age difference by 2031

May 4, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

63

Cine va avea primul sistem de tren metropolitan din Romania?

Apr 13, 1:09 PMDec 31, 2:07 PM

150

OptionProbability

TPBI

Asociatia de Transport Brasov

Primaria Cluj Napoca

Other

70

10

10

10

Will anyone between Dream or Drdonut step down as co-owner of MCPVP.com before August?

May 5, 4:42 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

54.3%chance

211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

92

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