OptionProbability
4. Decentralized post-quantum security networks (e.g., Naoris Protocol) • Attractive because security is network-verified, not key-verified. • Can overlay existing chains without requiring disruptive forks. • Provides instant scalability
5. No dominant solution by 2030 •The market remains fragmented. •PQC adoption varies across chains.
2. Hybrid classical–post-quantum cryptography • Popular interim solution. • Lower migration friction.
1. Post-quantum cryptographic upgrades (e.g., Dilithium, Falcon) • Backed by NIST selections, regulatory clarity. • High probability but hard to integrate into existing chains.
3. Hardware-based quantum-resistant security modules • Favored by regulated institutions. • Trusted execution environments, secure enclaves.
88
60
27
21