Truth News

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

40%chance

7233869

OptionVotes

YES

1225

816

Which interpretation of Quantum Mechanics is closest to the truth?

Jul 26, 3:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8931570

OptionProbability

wikipedia will not be clarified by market close

Many Worlds

"Shut up and calculate"

Other

Orchestrated Objective Reduction

Indivisible stochastic processes

Copenhagen

Superdeterminism

Something else

Spacetime foam

Something derived from Bohmian Mechanics

Local hidden variables + Superdeterminism

Will Twitter/x.com merge with or acquire Truth Social by the end of 2025?

Aug 12, 8:23 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.58%chance

517487

OptionVotes

YES

2316

740

Will Truth Social go bankrupt before 2026?

Apr 2, 3:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.57%chance

343997

OptionVotes

YES

3934

128

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

Jun 6, 1:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.25%chance

172539

OptionVotes

YES

984

892

xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?

May 7, 12:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

28.41%chance

121096

OptionVotes

YES

1587

630

❓Will Trump mention “Hunter” in a Truth Social post before August 4, 2025?

Jul 27, 10:13 AMAug 3, 11:59 PM

15.61%chance

24912

OptionVotes

YES

233

Which source of truth will be universally accepted as the most reliable trusted authority in 2100?

Apr 20, 9:55 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

11721

OptionProbability

Krantz (the abstract decentralized free market of propositions that everyone competes to assign confidence and importance values to).

Other

Society Library

The United Nations

United States Government

Open AI

Anthropic

Google

Community Notes

Wikipedia

Harvard

Open Research

Fox News

MSNBC

MIT

The Bible

Singularity Net

The Networkstate

Manifold

Will Truth Social still be operating when Trump dies?

Mar 14, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.14%chance

22463

OptionVotes

YES

1210

762

Will Trump’s Truth Social ($DJT) buy Bitcoin? (Trump Media & Technology Group) 🤑📈🏦🟠

Dec 26, 5:36 AMJan 26, 12:59 PM

93.53%chance

3385

OptionVotes

YES

380

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

Mar 14, 4:37 PMMar 22, 3:59 AM

41.45%chance

10236

OptionVotes

YES

1002

989

Will "Truth or Dare" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 30, 12:17 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.61%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1007

958

Truth News

Prediction markets for Truth

Prediction markets for Truth

Prediction markets for Truth

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

Which interpretation of Quantum Mechanics is closest to the truth?

Will Twitter/x.com merge with or acquire Truth Social by the end of 2025?

Will Truth Social go bankrupt before 2026?

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?

❓Will Trump mention “Hunter” in a Truth Social post before August 4, 2025?

Which source of truth will be universally accepted as the most reliable trusted authority in 2100?

Will Truth Social still be operating when Trump dies?

Will Trump’s Truth Social ($DJT) buy Bitcoin? (Trump Media & Technology Group) 🤑📈🏦🟠

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

Will "Truth or Dare" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories