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Top stories

Google Ships $999 Pixel 10 Pro Line, Beating iPhone 16 Pro in Battery Tests

Google Ships $999 Pixel 10 Pro Line, Beating iPhone 16 Pro in Battery Tests

Authors

11

10 months ago

Apple Locks Up Half of TSMC 2nm Capacity for iPhone 18

Apple Locks Up Half of TSMC 2nm Capacity for iPhone 18

Authors

12

10 months ago

Prediction markets for TSMC

Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?

May 19, 4:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94.72%chance

326787

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4236

236

Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?

Oct 20, 2:50 AMOct 27, 3:59 AM

29%chance

201547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

866

Will TSMC incorporate room-temperature superconductors before 2029

Jul 27, 6:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.2%chance

211439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1978

893

TSMC stock

Apr 9, 8:34 AMApr 10, 3:59 AM

201042

OptionProbability

YES

NO

345

341

Will an apocalypse cult attempt to attack a TSMC facility before 2031?

Mar 7, 12:21 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26.52%chance

17682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

60

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

24591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1065

819

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?

Jun 12, 7:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

18.8%chance

11517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1236

905

Will Dr. Kim (https://x.com/i_loves_deep_nn?lang=en) of TSMC get doxx'd by EOY2026?

Apr 7, 9:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8%chance

4239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

339

29

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?

Jun 12, 7:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

15.39%chance

6204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

218

71

Will TSMC exceed Nvidia in market capitalization at any point before 2032?

Jun 15, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.04%chance

6121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

66

Will any TSMC researchers win any Nobel prizes by Eoy2031

Mar 19, 1:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.2%chance

6112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

47

If China invades Taiwan, will the ratio of Nvidia market cap to TSMC market cap be greater than 3 after two months?

May 28, 7:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

79%chance

695

OptionVotes

NO

YES

193

100

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