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Top stories

Google Ships $999 Pixel 10 Pro Line, Beating iPhone 16 Pro in Battery Tests

Google Ships $999 Pixel 10 Pro Line, Beating iPhone 16 Pro in Battery Tests

Authors

11

7 months ago

Apple Locks Up Half of TSMC 2nm Capacity for iPhone 18

Apple Locks Up Half of TSMC 2nm Capacity for iPhone 18

Authors

12

7 months ago

Prediction markets for TSMC

Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?

May 19, 4:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.83%chance

212580

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1989

503

Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?

Oct 20, 2:50 AMOct 27, 3:59 AM

25%chance

201495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

974

Will TSMC incorporate room-temperature superconductors before 2029

Jul 27, 6:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.2%chance

211439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1978

893

TSMC stock

Apr 9, 8:34 AMApr 10, 3:59 AM

201042

OptionProbability

YES

NO

345

341

Will an apocalypse cult attempt to attack a TSMC facility before 2031?

Mar 7, 12:21 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

15.78%chance

14622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

231

43

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?

Jun 12, 7:19 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

18.8%chance

11517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1236

905

Will there be a joint venture chip foundry between TSMC and Intel? 🇺🇸🦾🤖💻

Feb 13, 4:34 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

48.73%chance

13515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

103

97

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.16%chance

22378

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

788

Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2026?

Jul 18, 12:45 AMJan 2, 4:03 AM

32.86%chance

10233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143

70

Will C.C. Wei (CEO of TSMC) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 19, 2:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.4%chance

5166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

296

88

Will any TSMC researchers win any Nobel prizes by Eoy2031

Mar 19, 1:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.2%chance

6112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

212

47

If China invades Taiwan, will the ratio of Nvidia market cap to TSMC market cap be greater than 3 after two months?

May 28, 7:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

79%chance

695

OptionVotes

NO

YES

193

100

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