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Prediction markets for TV

Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027?

Aug 23, 10:55 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

1%chance

5511887

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5736

30

Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026?

Sep 29, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.43%chance

114176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4174

240

Will Jesse Eisenberg play the role of Sam Altman in a TV show or movie by the end of 2028?

Nov 20, 5:31 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

6.86%chance

222294

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1841

886

Will JK Rowling allow a tv adaptation of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality by end of 2030?

May 10, 2:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.42%chance

281212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1552

919

Mistborn/Stormlight Archive TV show/movie begins filming by EOY 2028?

Jan 28, 10:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.13%chance

10435

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

651

Will The Expanse TV show return to finish the story?

Sep 10, 11:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.99%chance

17377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

943

Will Polish TV show Twoja Twarz Brzmi Znajomo stop doing blackface before 2030?

Sep 13, 9:42 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

46%chance

10364

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

924

Will The Sopranos still be one of the greatest TV series of all time in 2050?

Nov 28, 2:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.79%chance

12257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

101

Will Aaron Sorkin return to TV before 2030?

Oct 15, 9:50 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.16%chance

2155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

866

Will Closed Captioning be required on most U.S. broadcast TV ads in or before 2035?

Feb 9, 12:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.17%chance

2150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

901

Trailer for Star Fox movie or tv show before 2029?

May 11, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.23%chance

370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

67

Will George Lucas make and release a feature-length movie or tv show between now and July 1st 2029?

May 15, 8:07 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

29.51%chance

556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

113

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