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Prediction markets for Twitter Space

[Granular] When Will the AI Bubble Pop?

Oct 16, 9:50 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

337789

OptionProbability

Other

2026 [Jul-Sep]

2026 [Oct-Dec]

2027 [Jan-Mar]

2026 [Jan-Mar]

2026 [Apr-Jun]

2025 [Oct-Dec]

81

4

4

4

3

3

1

Will Michelle Obama run in a presidential primary election before 2036?

Aug 28, 12:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.26%chance

324281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

918

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Jun 20, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

161969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1919

765

Will "'ISIS' cease to exist" "once [US forces are] gone" from Syria and Iraq?

Aug 27, 10:32 PMSep 4, 9:59 PM

11.49%chance

18910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

463

61

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.64%chance

26690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

925

Will Adrian Dittman ever show his face while speaking without the video or the audio stream being synthetic?

Dec 31, 8:16 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

32.43%chance

10541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

69

Will "US forces in Syria and Iraq will be driven out within 2 - 3 years"?

Aug 27, 10:30 PMSep 4, 9:59 PM

23.12%chance

12522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

81

Will Ivanka Trump run in a presidential primary election before 2036?

Sep 10, 4:08 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.05%chance

11479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

317

129

Will Trump leave United States to avoid prosecution before 2030?

Aug 27, 11:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.86%chance

19455

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

742

Will "AI be able to do a ✨performance✨ like a really good audiobook narrator." before 2028?

Nov 10, 7:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

86.79%chance

9363

OptionVotes

NO

YES

300

151

Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?

Mar 9, 5:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

43.33%chance

15191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

938

How many new states will implement all-mail voting in all elections before the 2032 presidential election?

Aug 31, 5:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6131

OptionProbability

0

1

2

6+

3

4

5

50

13

11

9

7

5

5

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