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Prediction markets for Twitter Space

Who will win 2024 presidential election? && Will SBF receive a presidential pardon before 2028?

Nov 5, 1:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

145419

OptionProbability

Republicans && NO

Republicans && YES

Democrats && NO

Democrats && YES

82

18

0

0

Will Michelle Obama run in a presidential primary election before 2036?

Aug 28, 12:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.62%chance

324031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

936

Will Dr. Ally Louks and @Aella have a discussion about smell in 2025?

Jan 3, 4:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.14%chance

253827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3607

277

Will Sweden try to ban burning the Quran by the end of 2025?

Sep 1, 1:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.93%chance

272757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2736

653

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Jun 20, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

161969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1919

765

Will Democrats win big in 2024? || Will "downfall of America will really speed up" during 2024-2028?

Sep 1, 6:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

111691

OptionProbability

Democrats no || downfall no

Democrats no || downfall yes

Democrats yes || downfall yes

Democrats yes || downfall no

52

46

1

1

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.64%chance

26690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

925

Will Adrian Dittman ever show his face while speaking without the video or the audio stream being synthetic?

Dec 31, 8:16 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

32.43%chance

10541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

69

Meta shuts down or merges Threads by EOY2025?

Jun 6, 12:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.56%chance

9483

OptionVotes

YES

NO

350

29

Will Trump leave United States to avoid prosecution before 2030?

Aug 27, 11:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.18%chance

18445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1064

732

Will "AI be able to do a ✨performance✨ like a really good audiobook narrator." before 2028?

Nov 10, 7:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

87.43%chance

8361

OptionVotes

NO

YES

313

149

Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?

Mar 9, 5:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

41%chance

12151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

992

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