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Prediction markets for Twitter Space

Will Dr. Ally Louks and @Aella have a discussion about smell in 2025?

Jan 3, 4:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.73%chance

265446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4488

223

Will Michelle Obama run in a presidential primary election before 2036?

Aug 28, 12:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.62%chance

324031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

936

Will Sweden try to ban burning the Quran by the end of 2025?

Sep 1, 1:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.47%chance

323527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3506

589

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Jun 20, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

161969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1919

765

Will Democrats win big in 2024? || Will "downfall of America will really speed up" during 2024-2028?

Sep 1, 6:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

111691

OptionProbability

Democrats no || downfall no

Democrats no || downfall yes

Democrats yes || downfall yes

Democrats yes || downfall no

52

46

1

1

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.64%chance

26690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

925

Meta shuts down or merges Threads by EOY2025?

Jun 6, 12:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.25%chance

10558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

425

24

Will Trump leave United States to avoid prosecution before 2030?

Aug 27, 11:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.18%chance

18445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1064

732

Will Ivanka Trump run in a presidential primary election before 2036?

Sep 10, 4:08 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.54%chance

10404

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

139

Will I Achieve 10,000 USD/month by the end of 2025?

Dec 24, 8:56 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

67.6%chance

7402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

167

Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?

Mar 9, 5:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

41%chance

12151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

992

How many new states will implement all-mail voting in all elections before the 2032 presidential election?

Aug 31, 5:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6131

OptionProbability

0

1

2

6+

3

4

5

50

13

11

9

7

5

5

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