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Prediction markets for Twitter Spaces

Who will win 2024 presidential election? && Will SBF receive a presidential pardon before 2028?

Nov 5, 1:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

145419

OptionProbability

Republicans && NO

Republicans && YES

Democrats && NO

Democrats && YES

82

18

0

0

Will Michelle Obama run in a presidential primary election before 2036?

Aug 28, 12:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.62%chance

324031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

936

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Jun 20, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

161969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1919

765

Will Democrats win big in 2024? || Will "downfall of America will really speed up" during 2024-2028?

Sep 1, 6:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

111691

OptionProbability

Democrats no || downfall no

Democrats no || downfall yes

Democrats yes || downfall yes

Democrats yes || downfall no

52

46

1

1

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.64%chance

26690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

925

Will Adrian Dittman ever show his face while speaking without the video or the audio stream being synthetic?

Dec 31, 8:16 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

32.43%chance

10541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

144

69

Will Trump leave United States to avoid prosecution before 2030?

Aug 27, 11:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25.86%chance

19455

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

742

Will Ivanka Trump run in a presidential primary election before 2036?

Sep 10, 4:08 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.91%chance

10414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

137

Will "US forces in Syria and Iraq will be driven out within 2 - 3 years"?

Aug 27, 10:30 PMSep 4, 9:59 PM

19.4%chance

6361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

185

74

Will both the Democratic and Republican party in the USA keep operating under the same names until the end of 2030?

Sep 7, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

92.38%chance

8347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

381

147

Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?

Mar 9, 5:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

43.33%chance

15191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

938

How many new states will implement all-mail voting in all elections before the 2032 presidential election?

Aug 31, 5:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6131

OptionProbability

0

1

2

6+

3

4

5

50

13

11

9

7

5

5

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