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Prediction markets for UBI

Will the Kenya Universal Basic Income experiment find that UBI significantly reduces local crime?

Jan 10, 3:40 PMMay 31, 10:59 PM

67.18%chance

36731347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2725

1880

Will any country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?

May 29, 8:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.94%chance

5011725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1178

665

Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?

May 3, 5:59 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

68.82%chance

494571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1454

672

Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2030?

May 26, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.57%chance

313817

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

613

Will a country successfully implement a full universal basic income (UBI) program nationwide by 2030?

Apr 11, 2:59 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

57.45%chance

413347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1382

439

UBI in the US by 2030?

May 7, 2:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

332611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1755

790

Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?

May 26, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.19%chance

372332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

922

Will any EU country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?

May 29, 8:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.59%chance

21591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

890

Which UBI policy will be adopted after mass unemployment due to AI?

Dec 29, 2:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

20572

OptionProbability

No UBI

Universal median income

Universal minimum wage income

Universal utopian income

76

54

23

17

Will European Union introduce UBI (Universal basic income) by the end of 2030?

May 6, 1:45 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.98%chance

4395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

339

29

Which USA state will be the first to pass UBI of at least $2000/yr for all citizens?

May 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

776

OptionProbability

Other

Vermont

Alaska

Utah

California

New York

Maine

New Jersey

35

19

12

11

8

7

4

4

By which year will "Human Labor Free & UBI Redistributor" be recognized as an ESG thematic or investing criterion ?

Mar 12, 8:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

350

OptionProbability

2035-2038

2030-2033

2033-2035

2038-2040

2040-2043

2043-2045

2025-2028

2028-2030

2045-2048

2048-2050

59

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

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