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Prediction markets for UBI

Will the Kenya Universal Basic Income experiment find that UBI significantly reduces local crime?

Jan 10, 3:40 PMMay 31, 10:59 PM

65.75%chance

36330981

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2624

1931

Will any country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?

May 29, 8:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.84%chance

4911575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1028

872

Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?

May 3, 5:59 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

69.74%chance

474446

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

658

Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2030?

May 26, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.57%chance

313817

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

613

Will a country successfully implement a full universal basic income (UBI) program nationwide by 2030?

Apr 11, 2:59 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

56.86%chance

403337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1372

446

UBI in the US by 2030?

May 7, 2:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

332611

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1755

790

Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?

May 26, 6:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.19%chance

372332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

922

Will any EU country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?

May 29, 8:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.59%chance

21591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

890

Will European Union introduce UBI (Universal basic income) by the end of 2030?

May 6, 1:45 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.98%chance

4395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

339

29

If UBI is Given, How Much Will It Be? (USA)

May 19, 12:20 PMDec 31, 11:53 PM

3340

OptionProbability

Less than $999 per month

Other

$1,000 to $1,999 per month

$2,000 to $2,999 per month

$3,000+ per month

34

27

21

9

9

Widespread UBI and Metaverse Immersion for the Majority of adults in most developed nations by 2035?

May 5, 10:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.51%chance

10257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

243

41

Should there be a UBI funded by a land value tax?

Apr 24, 7:59 PMApr 24, 10:59 PM

83%chance

7149

OptionVotes

NO

YES

240

115

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