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Prediction markets for UK government

Will the UK Government offer >1000£ in tax incentives to people earning more than the UK median income to get health insurance before 2025?

Jan 2, 10:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.37%chance

134938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5042

746

Which government will form after the next UK general election?

May 5, 12:22 AMJan 2, 1:21 AM

222781

OptionProbability

Reform majority

Labour minority

Other

Labour majority

Labour + Liberal Democrats coalition

Conservatives + Reform coalition

Reform minority

Conservatives majority

Labour + Conservatives coalition

Conservatives minority

Conservatives + Liberal Democrats coalition

Labour + Reform coalition

Coalition of more than two parties

32

16

16

9

9

7

4

3

2

1

1

1

1

Will the UK government pass legislation introducing conscription for military service before 2028?

Jan 26, 12:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.73%chance

181080

OptionVotes

NO

YES

972

874

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.49%chance

91006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1709

585

Will the UK government approve the proposed Chinese embassy at the Royal Mint before 2026?

Oct 17, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

8830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

Will Apple provide private user data to the UK government before the end of 2027?

Feb 22, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.55%chance

5697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election

Dec 2, 2:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.04%chance

8362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

Will the UK government approve the proposed Chinese embassy at the Royal Mint before 2027?

Oct 17, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.76%chance

3318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

358

28

Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?

Dec 3, 2:59 PMJul 4, 10:59 PM

41.58%chance

3310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1185

844

Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?

May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

2225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

901

UK government approval among women falls below 5% this year?

Sep 13, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.89%chance

11220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

58

The Labour Party will win the next UK election (2023/4) and then govern for more than 8 contiguous years

Jun 11, 10:06 PMJun 11, 11:59 PM

35.8%chance

675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

111

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