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Prediction markets for UK
[ACX 2026] Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
Jan 6, 10:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
99.67%chance
235208675
OptionVotes
34651
47
OptionVotes
1635
745
Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?
Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM
5.22%chance
2411283
OptionVotes
11978
1115
OptionVotes
16492
8305
[ACX 2026] Will the US, UK or EU approve a gene editing therapy for a new condition during 2026?
Jan 6, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.77%chance
256014
OptionVotes
5922
4777
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
163107
OptionProbability
46
21
13
12
2
2
2
2
Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030
Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
25.05%chance
52982
OptionVotes
3409
1209
Will more than 5% of UK electricity be supplied by fossil fuels in 2030?
Jul 21, 10:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
69.69%chance
211798
OptionVotes
1516
660
Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?
Sep 18, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.3%chance
41275
OptionVotes
255
39
OptionVotes
1232
893
OptionVotes
987
944
OptionVotes
390
222