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Prediction markets for Ukrainian military

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Dec 14, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.46%chance

7512546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1549

647

Ww3 with nuclear

Mar 7, 12:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.39%chance

196911

OptionVotes

YES

NO

533

19

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Sep 15, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.2%chance

836669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

677

Will WW3 start before gta6?

Feb 28, 7:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.62%chance

252493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

348

29

Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026?

Jan 25, 9:53 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

79.84%chance

82214

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2063

545

Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?

Jan 1, 2:17 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

13.33%chance

82124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2550

392

Will a Ukrainian citizen be deported from the EU for the purpose of forcing them into military conscription?

Apr 27, 10:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26%chance

381527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

480

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11860

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Estonia

Lithuania

Other

Latvia

Finland

Alaska

70

11

5

5

4

3

3

When will Russia capture Sloviansk?

Jan 26, 2:55 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

4761

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

2029

53

24

11

11

WW3 begins in 2026

Jan 6, 7:33 PMJun 6, 9:59 PM

8.47%chance

10534

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

83

When is Russia going to conquer the Donbas region.

Jun 22, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9217

OptionProbability

Never

2027

2026

2028

2029

2030

45

22

10

10

8

6

Will the Crimean bridge be damaged in 2026?

Jun 23, 6:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76%chance

14191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

56

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