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Prediction markets for Ukrainian military

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Dec 14, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.4%chance

8816351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4190

239

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Sep 15, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.69%chance

846679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

687

Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026?

Jan 25, 9:53 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

8.97%chance

154587

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3313

312

Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?

Jan 1, 2:17 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

11.2%chance

122464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2816

355

When will Russia capture Sloviansk?

Jan 26, 2:55 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

61549

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2026

52

22

22

4

Will a Ukrainian citizen be deported from the EU for the purpose of forcing them into military conscription?

Apr 27, 10:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26.36%chance

391532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1746

485

WW3 begins in 2026

Jan 6, 7:33 PMJun 6, 9:59 PM

1.99%chance

12830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

338

91

Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027?

Jul 20, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.26%chance

10805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

When is Russia going to conquer the Donbas region.

Jun 22, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14541

OptionProbability

2027

Never

2028

2029

2030

2026

41

22

21

6

5

4

WIll Mykhailo Fedorov become the next President of Ukraine?

Jul 19, 8:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.41%chance

5104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

167

60

Will Plesetsk cosmodrome got hit with drone/missile by the end of 2026?

Aug 24, 6:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.52%chance

295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

65

Will Russia destroy global technology infrastructure including AI before 2050?

Sep 27, 6:57 AMDec 31, 7:30 AM

11%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

91

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