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Prediction markets for Ukrainian military

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Dec 14, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.33%chance

518946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1269

789

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Sep 15, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.2%chance

836669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

677

Will there be fighting in St. Petersburg, Russia’s major northern city, during 2026?

Jan 1, 2:17 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

13.33%chance

82124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2550

392

Will a Ukrainian citizen be deported from the EU for the purpose of forcing them into military conscription?

Apr 27, 10:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26%chance

381527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

480

Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026?

Jan 25, 9:53 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

71.7%chance

4775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1642

678

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8715

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Estonia

Alaska

Other

Finland

Lithuania

Latvia

51

26

7

7

4

2

2

When will Russia capture Sloviansk?

Jan 26, 2:55 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

3535

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2028

2029

41

37

11

11

WW3 begins in 2026

Jan 6, 7:33 PMJun 6, 9:59 PM

7.17%chance

5136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

98

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