Ultimate Member News
Prediction markets for Ultimate Member
Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?
Apr 25, 8:31 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM
17.49%chance
274106999
OptionVotes
1718
765
OptionVotes
2431
733
By 2040, will there be a one-world government WITH a one-world currency?
Jan 23, 9:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.87%chance
282877
OptionVotes
249
40
If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?
Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.86%chance
13931
OptionVotes
1182
959
Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister?
Jan 22, 12:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.75%chance
14677
OptionVotes
179
56
Alliance of Sahel States establish a federal state (country) during which years? (Niger, Burkina Faso, Mali)
Jun 12, 1:26 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM
4388
OptionProbability
34
20
20
17
10
Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?
Mar 16, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.01%chance
17380
OptionVotes
108
92
Labour initiates legislation to reform or replace Human Rights Act before next election?
Jul 21, 9:50 AMAug 15, 12:00 AM
37.02%chance
585
OptionVotes
130
77
By Sept 7 2031, will an AI securely control a US legal entity and its assets, with no human holding legal authority?
Sep 7, 5:14 AMSep 7, 4:00 AM
20.72%chance
224
OptionVotes
120
94