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Prediction markets for Ultimate Member
Prediction markets for Ultimate Member
Will we conclude Tesla launched level 4 robotaxis in summer 2025?
Apr 25, 8:31 PM
Sep 1, 11:59 PM
9.02%
chance
245
68669
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2875
598
Will Markus Söder ever be German chancellor?
Jan 29, 3:53 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
9.76%
chance
20
5664
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2279
749
By 2040, will there be a one-world government WITH a one-world currency?
Jan 23, 9:28 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
12.33%
chance
28
2859
Option
Votes
YES
NO
267
38
If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?
Jan 29, 6:18 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
16.29%
chance
11
861
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1222
951
Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister?
Jan 22, 12:01 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
22%
chance
11
415
Option
Votes
YES
NO
188
53
Will the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?
Mar 16, 9:32 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63.18%
chance
11
227
Option
Votes
NO
YES
131
76
Labour initiates legislation to reform or replace Human Rights Act before next election?
Jul 21, 9:50 AM
Aug 15, 12:00 AM
37.02%
chance
5
85
Option
Votes
YES
NO
130
77
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