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Prediction markets for UN

Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029

Oct 5, 6:22 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

42%chance

62029

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11755

8505

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

23.2%chance

51700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3591

1151

Will a new Country be recognized by the UN before 2030?

Aug 15, 7:24 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

77.57%chance

301563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1326

855

Will the US Threaten to Leave the UN by EOY 2025?

Oct 3, 5:29 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

20.24%chance

81049

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1985

504

Will any UN country change its capital city before the year 2030?

Jun 30, 2:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.06%chance

151003

OptionVotes

NO

YES

988

983

There will be a change to the permanent members of the UN Security council before 2040

Dec 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM

51.24%chance

16594

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

852

Will the UN add a new member state before 2030?

Jul 23, 5:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

77.19%chance

21538

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

949

Will Kim Jong-un still be alive at the beginning of 2030?

Jan 5, 7:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

79.99%chance

21478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1208

906

Will A.I. technology lead to regime change and /or state collapse in a UN member state by 2043?

Aug 28, 10:52 PMDec 5, 8:59 PM

67.54%chance

19445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

950

At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?

May 21, 3:39 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

39.52%chance

7372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1237

808

When Taiwan moves from the 21st position on the UN nominal GDP measure, it will move up.

Jul 27, 7:43 PMJul 4, 3:59 AM

73.55%chance

13274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1116

942

Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?

Apr 4, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.88%chance

12270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

801

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