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Prediction markets for UN

Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029

Oct 5, 6:22 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

22.08%chance

129959

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18787

5319

Will any UN country change its capital city before the year 2030?

Jun 30, 2:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

87.95%chance

173455

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2236

681

Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030

Jul 13, 9:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.05%chance

52982

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3409

1209

Will a new Country be recognized by the UN before 2030?

Aug 15, 7:24 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

74.98%chance

341737

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1201

894

Will Kim Jong Un stop being the leader of North Korea before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?

Dec 18, 1:51 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

11.24%chance

141559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2216

724

Putin, Xi Jinping, or Kim Jong Un out by 2028

Jun 17, 5:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.03%chance

71003

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1998

501

There will be a change to the permanent members of the UN Security council before 2040

Dec 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM

51.24%chance

16594

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

852

Will the UN add a new member state before 2030?

Jul 23, 5:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.97%chance

22568

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1005

979

Will Kim Jong-un still be alive at the beginning of 2030?

Jan 5, 7:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

79.99%chance

21478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1208

906

Will A.I. technology lead to regime change and /or state collapse in a UN member state by 2043?

Aug 28, 10:52 PMDec 5, 8:59 PM

67.54%chance

19445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

950

At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?

May 21, 3:39 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

39.52%chance

7372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1237

808

Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?

Apr 4, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.88%chance

12270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

801

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