UN General Assembly News

Macron Says Israeli Gaza Offensive Risks Disaster and Permanent Regional War

9 months ago

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

Nov 17, 7:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.53%chance

343134

OptionVotes

YES

2044

748

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

15.21%chance

152357

OptionVotes

YES

2361

424

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

3.68%chance

141429

OptionVotes

YES

2195

908

Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary?

Oct 31, 10:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.29%chance

71203

OptionVotes

YES

245

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Jul 29, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21970

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 4

Above 6

100

Who will be the next UN General secretary?

Apr 12, 11:31 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

12402

OptionProbability

Rafael Grossi [Argentinian diplomat - director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency]

Other

Rebeca Grynspan [high-level UN official and former vice president of Costa Rica]

Michelle Bachelet [former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights and President of Chile]

Jacinda Ardern (Former Prime Minister of New Zealand)

Mia Mottley [Prime Minister of Barbados]

Juan Manuel Santos [former Colombian president – a Nobel peace Prize laureate]

Alicia Bárcena [Mexico’s foreign affairs secretary]

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés [former president of the UN General Assembly and former minister of Ecuador]

Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?

Apr 4, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.88%chance

12270

OptionVotes

YES

1071

801

Will Kosovo become a United Nations member state by 2030?

Oct 8, 5:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.61%chance

6255

OptionVotes

YES

200

Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.

Mar 26, 8:48 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

66%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

139

UN General Assembly News

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Prediction markets for UN General Assembly

Prediction markets for UN General Assembly

Prediction markets for UN General Assembly

Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary?

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Who will be the next UN General secretary?

Will there be a new UN-recognized country before 2030?

Will Kosovo become a United Nations member state by 2030?

Rafael Mariano Grossi will be serving as Secretary-General of the United Nations on 1 January 2027.

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