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Prediction markets for Under Exposed Spaces

Will a human walk on Mars before 2038?

Dec 31, 2:15 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

27.28%chance

408373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

949

Will we get AGI before a human walks on the Moon again?

Dec 31, 1:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.73%chance

838278

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1537

918

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?

Jan 1, 3:45 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

51.01%chance

596296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1141

784

Will a human walk on Mars before 2040?

Jan 3, 10:26 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

34.28%chance

415970

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

947

Will a human walk on Mars before 2041?

Jan 4, 5:45 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

37.86%chance

295287

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

819

Will a human walk on Mars before 2044?

Feb 11, 10:02 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

50%chance

484157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1032

950

Will we get AGI before a human walks on Mars?

Dec 31, 2:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

72.06%chance

643462

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1641

1091

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2031?

Dec 31, 11:39 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

68.63%chance

302192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

865

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2032?

Dec 30, 10:18 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

73.5%chance

261395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

674

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2033?

Dec 30, 3:27 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

73.7%chance

261327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

605

Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before a human walks on the Moon again?

Mar 10, 12:26 PMMar 2, 10:59 PM

51%chance

14557

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1026

950

Facebook will ship a clearly traditional Avatar system on PC by mid 2026, no more forced ambiguous self-presentatation

Jan 10, 9:22 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

49.98%chance

380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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