Under the Bridge News

What are some of the best educational games?

Sep 8, 3:43 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

7624098

OptionProbability

PianoVision

Quantum Odyssey

NandGame

The Farmer Was Replaced

Zoombinis

https://www.geogridgame.com/

Other

Poly Bridge

SHENZHEN I/O

Geoguessr [Invalid, already played]

A Slower Speed of Light [Invalid, already played]

Universal Paperclips [Invalid, already played]

Antbuster [Invalid, already played]

Spore [Invalid, already played]

Epistory

The Forgotten City

Silicon Zeroes

Victoria II

Factorio [Invalid, already played]

Magic the Gathering [Invalid, already played]

Murder, she bet

Democracy 3

Age of Empires II [Invalid, already played]

Pharaoh

Cinco Paus

We Become What We Behold

Sine Rider

http://robozzle.com/

https://microcorruption.com/

Frog Fractions

ANTE

Europa Universalis IV

Zendo

Jahooma's logic box

Civilization VI [Invalid, already played]

Terraforming Mars [Invalid, already played]

Captain of Industry

Hackmud

Cool Math Games [Invalid, not a game]

Duo Lingo [Invalid, not a game]

Plague Inc: Evolved

Airport CEO

Kerbal Space Program [Invalid, already played]

Chess [Invalid, already played]

Cellcraft [Invalid, already played]

Imperivm: Great Battles of Rome

Untrusted

https://logicbox.jahooma.com/

https://lab.quantumflytrap.com/

Turing Complete

The Battle of Polytopia

Poker [Invalid, already played]

Monopoly [Invalid, already played]

What will be true of Mario Kart World updates & DLC by end of 2025?

Jun 7, 7:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

114283

OptionProbability

200cc mode added

Animal Crossing character or track is added

Zelda character or track is added

4 or more new tracks added

Traditional 3 lap race mode in online matchmaking added

Splatoon character or track is added

A new land mass is directly connected to existing open world by bridge, tunnel, flying, or other way without loading screen

8 or more new tracks added

12 or more new tracks added

Significant battle mode update

Some kind of real-life sponsor added (like MK8 Mercedes cars)

Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2030? [ADD ANSWERS]

Apr 10, 10:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

353628

OptionProbability

Kerch Bridge (Crimea)

Yamal-Europe Pipeline

Belo Monte Dam (Brazil)

Guri Dam (Venezuela)

Itaipu Dam (Brazil and Paraguay)

Vatican City

Suez Canal (Egypt)

Xiluodu Dam (China)

Baihetan Dam (China)

Three Gorges Dam (China)

The Great Sphinx of Giza (Egypt)

Panama Canal (Panama)

Golden Gate Bridge (United States)

Statue of Liberty (US)

The Empire State Building (US)

The Louvre (Paris, France)

Channel Tunnel (UK and France)

Hoover Dam (US)

Port of Houston (US)

World Trade Center (New York, US)

Eiffel Tower (Paris, France)

The Holland Tunnel (The tunnel under the Hudson River) (NYC to NJ, US)

Covid Origins MegaMarket - lots of unlinked binary questions about the steps on the way, varying lengths

Dec 25, 7:05 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

143479

OptionProbability

L: Elon Musk comes out for lab leak by mid 2025

T5: LLM gives <=50% estimate of "Zoonotic Origin" [72% at EOY 2023] by mid 2029

T3: LLM gives >=10% estimate of "Accidental Lab Leak of Modified Virus" [7% at EOY 2023] by mid 2026

T2: LLM gives >=10% estimate of "Accidental Lab Leak of Modified Virus" [7% at EOY 2023] by mid 2025

B: Wikipedia page "Covid-19 lab leak theory", in LLM judgment, drops down to <=70% confidence from today's "85-95%" confident, by mid 2025

T4: LLM gives <=60% estimate of "Zoonotic Origin" [72% at EOY 2023] by mid 2026

T6: LLM gives <=40% estimate of "Zoonotic Origin" [72% at EOY 2023] by mid 2029

T7: LLM gives >=20% estimate of "Accidental Lab Leak of Unmodified, Collected Virus" [12.5% at EOY 2023] by mid 2029

Proof that most large cities in China have labs working on coronaviruses comparable to Wuhan, a claim alleged by the Wikipedia article, but not backed up with references, by mid 2024

T1: LLM gives >=10% estimate of "Accidental Lab Leak of Modified Virus" [7% at EOY 2023] by mid 2024

E3: Trump publicly comes out for lab leak, by mid 2028

O: Intermediate Host Identification of an animal bridging the gap from bats to humans, by mid 2029

H: Any type of information leak from Wuhan Institute of Virology by mid 2026

D2: Fauci passes away by mid 2029

V: Within 1 year of Xi Jingping's death, China's position on Covid origins shifts significantly, as judged by LLM [subjective]

S2: Disclosure by any means of significant parts of the virus database from WIV with approx 22k unreported bat and rodent viral samples and genomes, by mid 2026

Q: WHO researchers are allowed into WIV and have unfettered access by mid 2026

N: An earlier center of Covid-19 outbreak is discovered, far away from Wuhan, weakening lab-leak theory by mid 2028

C: Wikipedia page "Covid-19 lab leak theory", in LLM judgment, softens to <=50% confidence, mid year 2025 (see B)

U: Any type of release of significant staff health records of WIV by mid 2029

W: Within 1 year of Fauci's death, US gov't position on Covid origins shifts significantly (subjective)

X: Within 1 year of Biden's death, US gov't position on Covid origins shifts significantly (subjective)

R: Large document leak from WIV of any type, mentioned in major western media, or publicly available, by mid 2026

S1: Intentional release of the entire virus database from WIV with approx 22k unreported bat and rodent viral samples and genomes, by mid 2026

E2: Trump publicly comes out for lab leak, by mid 2026

J: Identification of an animal reservoir for Covid-19 nearby Wuhan by mid 2027

M: Zhi Shengli disappears by mid 2028

I: News of a defection from someone significant who worked at Wuhan Institute of Virology by mid 2026

P: Discovery of an animal precursor to Covid-19 [actually finding a living animal with the virus in it, plausibly back-dateable to the time before the outbreak], by mid 2026

G: Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus comes out for lab leak by mid 2026

D3: Fauci passes away due to Covid

A: Wikipedia page "SARS-CoV2-2" no longer clearly states it's of zoonotic origin, by mid 2025

D1: Fauci passes away by mid 2025

E1: Trump publicly comes out for lab leak, by mid 2024

F: Obama or either Clinton comes out for lab leak by mid 2024

K: Bill Gates comes out for lab leak by mid 2025

100

Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2025? [ADD ANSWERS]

Apr 10, 10:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

282541

OptionProbability

Kerch Bridge (Crimea)

Yamal-Europe Pipeline

Guri Dam (Venezuela)

Xiluodu Dam (China)

Baihetan Dam (China)

Three Gorges Dam (China)

Vatican City

Suez Canal (Egypt)

Panama Canal (Panama)

Itaipu Dam (Brazil and Paraguay)

Channel Tunnel (UK and France)

Eiffel Tower (France)

Belo Monte Dam (Brazil)

World Trade Center (New York, US)

The Louvre (France)

Golden Gate Bridge (United States)

Hoover Dam (United States)

What is the next major competitive sport where AI beat top human player

Feb 24, 3:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

142535

OptionProbability

Math Olympiad or related major Math competitions

Settlers of Catan

Other

Shogi

Geoguessr

Diplomacy (with press)

League of Legends

Scrabble

Magic the Gathering

Age of Empires 2

Bridge

Chess

Which party will win the Presidency? Will the Ukraine sever the land bridge between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive)?

Mar 1, 6:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

112281

OptionProbability

Republicans, Ukraine doesn't take land bridge

Republicans, Ukraine takes land bridge

Democrats, Ukraine takes land bridge

Democrats, Ukraine doesn't take land bridge

What will be true about the Francis Scott Key bridge disaster by 2025? (Add Your Own Answer)

Mar 26, 11:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

351885

OptionProbability

Ship dropped anchor before colliding with the bridge

An emergency generator was activated on the ship before the collision

An overload trip mechanism was activated on the ship

Ship ran propeller in reverse before colliding with bridge

Ship switched from one primary fuel source to another between leaving and colliding with bridge

Ship had bad fuel

At least one member of the road crew working on the bridge received a warning about the ship via phone/radio before the collision

The loss of power was caused by a cooling water blockage

Ship sounded its horn at least once between the first power loss and the collision

Between the ship undocking and the collision, a person on the ship sustained a physical injury serious enough to prevent them from doing their job

A person on the ship at the time of the collision will be convicted of assault against another person on the ship.

Ship operators were on drugs

A person was trespassing on the ship at the time of the collision

A part of the ship other than the anchor fell off between leaving and the collision

Ship rudder was not disabled during power loss event.

Container Ship was victim of cyber attack

100

🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, what will the ranking order of films be?

Mar 3, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7874

OptionProbability

High Noon

The Gold Rush

Sophie's Choice

Goodfellas

The French Connection

Pulp Fiction

The Last Picture Show

Do The Right Thing

Blade Runner

Yankee Doodle Dandy

Toy Story

Ben-Hur

The General

On The Waterfront

It's a Wonderful Life

Chinatown

The Grapes of Wrath

ET the Extra Terrestrial

To Kill a Mockingbird

Mr Smith Goes to Washington

Double Indemnity

The Maltese Falcon

Godfather Part II

One Flew Over The Cuckoo's Nest

Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (original animated)

Annie Hall

Bridge on the River Kwai

The Best Years of our Lives

Treasure of the Sierra Madre

The Sound of Music

King Kong (original)

Bonnie and Clyde

Midnight Cowboy

The Philadelphia Story

Shane

It Happened One Night

A Streetcar Named Desier

Rear Window

Intolerance

Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Ring

West Side Story

Taxi Driver

The Deer Hunter

M*A*S*H*

North by Northwest

Jaws

Rocky

Nashville

Duck Soup

Sullivan's Travels

American Graffiti

Cabaret

Network

The African Queen

Raiders of the Lost Ark

Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf

Unforgiven

Tootsie

A Clockwork Orange

Saving Private Ryan

The Shawshank Redemption

Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid

Silence of the Lambs

In the Heat of the Night

Forrest Gump

All the President's Men

Modern Times

The Wild Bunch

The Apartment

Spartacus

Sunrise: A Song of Two Humans

Titanic

Easy Rider

A Night at the Opera

Platoon

12 Angry Men

Bringing Up Baby

The Sixth Sense

Swing Tie

Raging Bull

Singin in the Rain

Vertigo

City Lights

The Searchers

Psycho

2001 A Space Odyssey

Sunset Boulevard

The Graduate

Dr Strangelove

Some Like it Hot

Schindler's List

The Wizard of Oz

Apocalypse Now

Star Wars

All About Eve

Lawrence of Arabia

Gone with the Wind

Casablanca

The Godfather

Citizen Kane

What will happen on wplace.live by EOY?

Sep 1, 2:31 AMJan 1, 3:06 AM

6160

OptionProbability

Interactive pixel canvas live on wplace.live

Online but static/non-interactive page

Entire country taken over by Deltarune

Redirects to a different domain

Domain parked/for-sale/placeholder page

Down/unreachable (DNS/timeout/4xx/5xx)

Atlantic Bridge complete

Other

Bastion type in next Minecraft 1.16 RSG world record

Jun 16, 7:34 PMDec 31, 8:26 PM

2115

OptionProbability

Treasure Room

Hoglin Stables

Bridge

Housing Units

None

How will SANDAG prevent the LA/SD rail line from falling into the Pacific?

Jul 24, 12:13 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

OptionProbability

San Dieguito Bridge to I-5 (tunnel)

under Crest Canyon (tunnel)

under Camino Del Mar (tunnel)

double-track & reinforce existing route on Del Mar Bluffs (no tunnel)

don't do anything ("no build")

Under the Bridge News

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Prediction markets for Under the Bridge

Prediction markets for Under the Bridge

What are some of the best educational games?

What will be true of Mario Kart World updates & DLC by end of 2025?

Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2030? [ADD ANSWERS]

Covid Origins MegaMarket - lots of unlinked binary questions about the steps on the way, varying lengths

Which landmarks or major infrastructure will suffer a military or terrorist attack before the end of 2025? [ADD ANSWERS]

What is the next major competitive sport where AI beat top human player

Which party will win the Presidency? Will the Ukraine sever the land bridge between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive)?

What will be true about the Francis Scott Key bridge disaster by 2025? (Add Your Own Answer)

🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, what will the ranking order of films be?

What will happen on wplace.live by EOY?

Bastion type in next Minecraft 1.16 RSG world record

How will SANDAG prevent the LA/SD rail line from falling into the Pacific?

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