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Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

Jun 12, 1:39 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

15445074

OptionProbability

Gene Editing Therapies

Therapies to reverse cardiovascular diseases

Human-level AGI

Regenerative Medicine

Brain-Computer Interfaces

Personalized medicine based on patient's genetic profile

Humanoid Robots in Service/Logistics Roles

Bioprinting

Desalination with Energy Consumption Below 1.5 kWh/m³

Solar panels with 40% efficiency

Synthetic Meat Indistinguishable from Real Meat

Artificial Photosynthesis (10% efficiency in converting sunlight to chemical energy)

Autonomous Drone Swarms Dominating Land and Air Combat

Therapies to reverse neurodegenerative diseases

Quantum Computing Applications

Space-Based Manufacturing

Cancer Vaccine Targeting Multiple Types of Cancer

Seafloor Mining Robots

A Specific ‘Longevity Drug’ or Defined Drug Combination that Extends Average Human Healthspan by at Least 10 Years

Fully Autonomous Cargo Ships

Nanorobots for Precision Drug Delivery

Self-Healing Materials for Infrastructure

Joywire

Commercial fusion power

Britain finishes HS2

Smart Contact Lenses with AR Capabilities

Transoceanic fully autonomous container crossing without onboard crew

Solid-state EV batteries ≥ 500 Wh/kg in mass-produced cars

Lunar Bases

Self-Actuating Metamaterials for Adaptive Structures in Buildings and Infrastructure

City-scale fully automated underground logistics networks

Artificial Wombs for Human Gestation (from conception to birth)

Nuclear Thermal Rockets

Commercial asteroid mining

Room-Temperature Atmospheric-Pressure Superconductors

Space-to-Earth power stations

Fusion Drives

Engineered Symbiotic Microorganism Implants for Human Physiological Augmentation

Advanced Exoskeletons for Everyday Use

Mars Base

Direct Cognitive Collaboration

Changing the height of an adult at will

Self-Replicating Fully-Automated Factories

Orbital Habitats

Universal Flu Vaccine (effictive against all current and future strains)

Food with bioengineered saturated fat that doesn't raise cholesterol

Human Missions to Mars with Round-Trip Travel Time Under 6 Months

Space probes travelling at >=1% speed of light

Commercial satellite to ground power transmission

Changing a person's race at will

Biohybrid Robots with Living Muscle Tissue

Room-Temperature Superconducting Transmission Lines in Urban Power Grids

Human sex change at chromosome level

Cell replacement therapy using synthetic cells

Time travel to the future

Vacuum Airships

Antimatter bombs

Human Mind Uploading

Autonomous Flying Cars in Cities

Cryonics with Successful Revival

Commercial cold fusion

Quantum Sensors Enabling Detection of Cancer Years Before Symptoms

Temporal Cloaking Device (Hiding Events in Time)

1% Dyson sphere coverage

Reality Anchoring Device (Stabilizing Subjective Reality)

Space Elevator

Faster then Light Propulsion

Time travel to the past

Is there a vast complex of underground chambers and shafts extending nearly two kilometers under the pyramids?

Mar 23, 12:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.95%chance

218466

OptionVotes

YES

4931

204

Will over 1000 people live permanently outside Earth's atmosphere by 2050?

Aug 17, 12:33 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

43.37%chance

868457

OptionVotes

YES

1110

950

Will we get AGI before a human walks on the Moon again?

Dec 31, 1:07 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

55%chance

817853

OptionVotes

YES

1852

548

Will a human walk on Mars before 2041?

Jan 4, 5:45 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

56.04%chance

284962

OptionVotes

YES

1371

494

Will we get AGI before a human walks on Mars?

Dec 31, 2:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

71.15%chance

633208

OptionVotes

YES

1595

1109

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?

Jan 1, 3:45 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

63.73%chance

533204

OptionVotes

YES

1075

927

How many people worldwide will be living primarily underground in 2040?

Aug 1, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.93%chance

241620

OptionProbability

YES

1018

943

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2033?

Dec 30, 3:27 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

78.84%chance

261277

OptionVotes

YES

1021

767

Which option will LA Metro choose for the Sepulveda Transit Corridor?

Jun 6, 3:53 AMJun 6, 3:42 AM

3465

OptionProbability

Alternative 5 (automated heavy rail under the Santa Monica mountains, underground in the Valley)

Alternative 4 (automated heavy rail under the Santa Monica mountains, aerial in the Valley)

Alternative 6 (driver-operated heavy rail under the Santa Monica mountains, underground in the Valley)

Alternative 1 (aerial monorail along 405)

Alternative 3 (aerial monorail along 405 with partial tunneling)

No build

Will cities have automated underground logistics networks before 2050?

May 9, 2:04 PMMar 3, 10:59 PM

41.64%chance

10294

OptionVotes

YES

310

260

Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before a human walks on the Moon again?

Mar 10, 12:26 PMMar 2, 10:59 PM

54.9%chance

12266

OptionVotes

YES

1032

953

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Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

Is there a vast complex of underground chambers and shafts extending nearly two kilometers under the pyramids?

Will over 1000 people live permanently outside Earth's atmosphere by 2050?

Will we get AGI before a human walks on the Moon again?

Will a human walk on Mars before 2041?

Will we get AGI before a human walks on Mars?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2030?

How many people worldwide will be living primarily underground in 2040?

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2033?

Which option will LA Metro choose for the Sepulveda Transit Corridor?

Will cities have automated underground logistics networks before 2050?

Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before a human walks on the Moon again?

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