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Prediction markets for Underperform
Will Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?
Mar 17, 7:16 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM
94.59%chance
127898
OptionVotes
4229
242
Which movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)?
Feb 3, 10:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
142970
OptionProbability
100
100
100
97
84
54
54
51
50
45
43
43
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
34
34
34
34
34
34
24
24
24
24
24
20
17
17
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
66
54
31
12
6
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
Will Deepseek V4 outperform OpenAI and Anthropic models at coding?
Jan 9, 10:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.77%chance
221090
OptionVotes
593
17
Will Bitcoin have underperformed the S&P 500 from May 2022 to May 2032?
May 7, 11:26 AMMay 6, 3:59 AM
40.74%chance
31890
OptionVotes
1245
774
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%chance
19407
OptionVotes
1081
928
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie Vs. The Super Mario Bros. Movie US/ WW Box Office
Feb 9, 9:39 AMAug 30, 10:59 PM
6397
OptionProbability
6
3
OptionProbability
67
33
Hollywood American Revolution film box office top 10 by July 4, 2076?
Jul 30, 8:39 AMJul 4, 10:59 PM
27.2%chance
11181
OptionVotes
164
61
OptionVotes
110
91