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Prediction markets for Underperform
Will Susan Collins Outperform Maine's Republican Baseline in 2026?
Mar 17, 7:16 AMDec 1, 7:59 AM
95%chance
148127
OptionVotes
4408
232
Which movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)?
Feb 3, 10:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
255070
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
77
73
68
50
50
41
41
41
38
26
26
24
24
21
20
18
17
17
17
17
15
15
13
13
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
95
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will Deepseek V4 outperform OpenAI and Anthropic models at coding?
Jan 9, 10:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
1.6%chance
251711
OptionVotes
785
13
OptionProbability
99
1
Will Bitcoin have underperformed the S&P 500 from May 2022 to May 2032?
May 7, 11:26 AMMay 6, 3:59 AM
40.74%chance
31890
OptionVotes
1245
774
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%chance
19407
OptionVotes
1081
928
OptionVotes
1304
964
Hollywood American Revolution film box office top 10 by July 4, 2076?
Jul 30, 8:39 AMJul 4, 10:59 PM
27.2%chance
11181
OptionVotes
164
61
OptionVotes
110
91