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Top stories

120,000 Ukrainian Refugees Lose Legal Status Under Trump as Refugee Cap and Palestinian Arrivals Raise Concerns

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

120,000 Ukrainian Refugees Lose Legal Status Under Trump as Refugee Cap and Palestinian Arrivals Raise Concerns

Authors

11

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Uniting for Ukraine

Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?

Feb 14, 1:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.18%chance

12722514

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2787

261

Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?

Feb 4, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.72%chance

6418412

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2953

891

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Dec 14, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.94%chance

6810620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1945

515

Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before end of Iran War

Mar 23, 2:43 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

11.45%chance

403814

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2780

360

Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?

Feb 6, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.33%chance

202069

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1516

660

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.26%chance

201078

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

883

Will a member of the EU win Eurovision?

Mar 1, 2:43 PMMay 17, 12:00 AM

84.53%chance

21945

OptionVotes

NO

YES

234

43

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state before Ukraine joins NATO?

Apr 19, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.72%chance

24883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

960

Will Europe fall before Bitcoin?

Dec 12, 7:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

8669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

455

Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026?

Jan 1, 4:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.93%chance

4319

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1303

768

Will Putin attend the G20 Summit in the US in 2026?

Apr 24, 3:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18%chance

16309

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

53.68%chance

5220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1145

982

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