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Top stories

120,000 Ukrainian Refugees Lose Legal Status Under Trump as Refugee Cap and Palestinian Arrivals Raise Concerns

US Foreign Policy

US Domestic Policy

120,000 Ukrainian Refugees Lose Legal Status Under Trump as Refugee Cap and Palestinian Arrivals Raise Concerns

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Uniting for Ukraine

Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?

Feb 14, 1:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11.58%chance

12822520

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2741

267

Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?

Feb 4, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.54%chance

6820337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3148

886

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2026?

Dec 14, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.75%chance

8214012

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2506

400

Will the Swift Centre beat Polymarket?

Feb 4, 3:17 AMJan 1, 3:13 AM

79.11%chance

182339

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3387

2167

Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026?

Jan 1, 4:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.7%chance

152121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2553

392

Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?

Feb 6, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.97%chance

212082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

654

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.26%chance

201078

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

883

Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state before Ukraine joins NATO?

Apr 19, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.72%chance

24883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

960

What lasting peace deal will come first? Russia's or Iran's?

Aug 29, 8:29 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

29.6%chance

8679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

100

Will Europe fall before Bitcoin?

Dec 12, 7:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

8669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

455

Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under Trump's 28-point plan?

Jul 6, 4:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

6612

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

China provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?

Oct 30, 12:17 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

52.33%chance

6247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

1009

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