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Prediction markets for Universal Verifier

Iran directly attacks U.S. in 2026?

Feb 28, 7:32 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

435285

OptionProbability

Military Installation or Static Deployment

Mobile Military Asset (Naval or Air)

Diplomatic Mission

Homeland / Sovereign Territory

No Direct Attack in 2026

100

100

75

14

0

Will humans receive a message from an extraterrestrial or inter-dimensional intelligence before the end of 2027?

Aug 27, 5:59 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

3.45%chance

403153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2574

873

Will A-Levels get cancelled in GCC

Mar 23, 7:18 PMMay 11, 7:16 PM

9.64%chance

91586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1534

927

In the boys, will Marie Moreau kill Homelander?

Apr 10, 7:21 PMMay 20, 7:18 PM

3.84%chance

14977

OptionVotes

YES

NO

501

20

Will UATX achieve full accreditation by the end of 2029?

Feb 2, 9:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51%chance

5895

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

980

Will Humanity Create a Consciousness-Emerging Universe Simulation by 2100?

Feb 5, 2:40 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

34.43%chance

14318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

903

Will Until Labs preserve Ben Sasse?

Apr 10, 9:50 PMApr 10, 9:50 PM

15.49%chance

6147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234

43

Will a country ban advanced AI systems before 2027?

Mar 18, 3:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.89%chance

5132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

50

Will Bryan Johnson live past hundred?

Mar 24, 7:31 PMAug 22, 11:59 PM

19.22%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

49

When in 2026 will OS-World Verified be saturated by AI models?

Dec 22, 1:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2100

OptionProbability

Jul-Sep 2026

Apr-Jun 2026

Jan-Mar 2026

Oct-Dec 2026

31

29

20

20

Will there be an "Avengers: Secret Wars part 2" movie?

Jan 26, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.93%chance

461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

72

Will Derek Thompson run for office by EOY 2030?

Apr 28, 7:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.49%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

66

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