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Prediction markets for Universal Verifier

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.1%chance

7636038

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1413

731

Will humans receive a message from an extraterrestrial or inter-dimensional intelligence before the end of 2027?

Aug 27, 5:59 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

3.45%chance

403153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2574

873

Keir Starmer still UK prime minister by?

Jan 17, 4:12 AMDec 17, 11:59 PM

14551

OptionProbability

June 2026

December 2026

June 2027

December 2028

December 2027

June 2029

June 2028

December 2029

June 2030

December 2030

June 2031

December 2031

59

42

38

25

23

21

20

16

11

11

11

10

Will UATX achieve full accreditation by 2030?

Feb 2, 9:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.43%chance

2380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1380

725

Will Humanity Create a Consciousness-Emerging Universe Simulation by 2100?

Feb 5, 2:40 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

34.43%chance

14318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1039

903

Will Stranger Things Spin Off release by May 2026?

Jan 15, 4:36 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

18.48%chance

5110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

48

When in 2026 will OS-World Verified be saturated by AI models?

Dec 22, 1:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2100

OptionProbability

Jul-Sep 2026

Apr-Jun 2026

Jan-Mar 2026

Oct-Dec 2026

31

29

20

20

Will "Five Nights at Freddy’s 3" be released by the end of 2027?

Dec 12, 5:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.29%chance

570

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

59

Will a full game of "The Campaign for North Africa, The Desert War, 1940–43" ever be played?

Sep 8, 9:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

73.94%chance

370

OptionVotes

NO

YES

168

59

Will "Mamma Mia! 3" be released by the end of 2028?

Jan 21, 4:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.78%chance

450

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

79

Will there be an "Avengers: Secret Wars part 2" movie?

Jan 26, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.45%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 28th State Senate district

Jun 16, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

Lola Smallwood-Cuevas (incumbent)

Other

59

41

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