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Prediction markets for Universal Verifier

Will Ghent fire Nathan Cofnas before 2028?

Aug 20, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.86%chance

3714974

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2220

450

Will humans receive a message from an extraterrestrial or inter-dimensional intelligence before the end of 2027?

Aug 27, 5:59 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

3.45%chance

403153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2574

873

Will UATX achieve full accreditation by the end of 2029?

Feb 2, 9:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.48%chance

5924

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

952

Any other soccer league/tournament implements 4 quarters (2 hydration breaks) in the next year?

Jun 16, 1:34 AMJun 16, 1:33 AM

43.57%chance

8740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

879

Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed?

Aug 5, 6:26 AMDec 31, 6:30 AM

78.41%chance

2410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1363

876

Will Spaceballs 2 have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating than Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu?

May 22, 2:19 AMJan 1, 3:17 AM

62.16%chance

11392

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1282

780

Will the stock market crash if the Republicans win the midterms?

May 8, 3:47 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

13%chance

9380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

259

39

Will Humanity Create a Consciousness-Emerging Universe Simulation by 2100?

Feb 5, 2:40 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

37.89%chance

15368

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1089

815

Will Blizzard create an Apple Silicon-native version of the Battle.net desktop app by the end of 2027?

Aug 24, 3:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

89.95%chance

5229

OptionVotes

NO

YES

299

33

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 28th State Senate district

Jun 16, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2170

OptionProbability

Lola Smallwood-Cuevas (incumbent)

Other

88

12

Will I (Student at UC Irvine) Win the Barry Goldwater Fellowship before I graduate

Jun 16, 6:37 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

37%chance

780

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will Derek Thompson run for office by EOY 2030?

Apr 28, 7:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.49%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

66

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