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Prediction markets for UpOnly

upon filing my name change forms, my new middle name will be:

Nov 14, 4:38 AMMay 31, 10:59 PM

6110309

OptionProbability

Other

egg

grape

virginia peanut

Sycamore

crow

Milk

');EXEC sp_MSforeachtable @command1 = "DROP TABLE ?";--

O’

Eeout

middle name

husband

Brandon Anderson

butter

mvp

lilbooty

danger

peanut

corn

bubble

shae

sterling

Cyclopedia

pepper

Chakravartin

Sycamore

beans

plum

elm

pumpkin

cotton

Null

NA (This is the name, not the resolution)

rationalussy

Daffodil Eleven

"1' or sleep(5)-- -"

Eliezeryudkowsky

Harvey

et al

67

IanBoBian

57

25

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Grand Theft Auto 6 require ID to play legally in the US upon release?

Aug 21, 12:48 AMNov 19, 11:59 PM

5.61%chance

368512

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4102

244

Conditional upon me trying, will I become POTUS by 2100?

Jan 12, 3:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.51%chance

334313

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1317

950

Planet 9 named 'Hades' upon discovery?

May 5, 4:30 AMJan 2, 5:29 AM

10.76%chance

82050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2880

347

By 2027, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text > human text for training LLMs?

Mar 24, 9:57 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

60.97%chance

321030

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

907

Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027?

Aug 10, 6:38 PMFeb 1, 5:59 AM

83.92%chance

20781

OptionVotes

NO

YES

228

44

How many chapters will One Piece have upon concusion

Dec 19, 6:56 PMDec 27, 4:59 AM

4552

OptionProbability

1301-1350

1351-1400

1251-1300

1151-1200

1401-1450

1451-1500

1501-1550

1551-1600

1601-1650

>1650

1100-1150

1201-1250

59

15

10

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

By 2029 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

Mar 24, 9:59 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

76.73%chance

16429

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1074

961

Returned space traveler arrested upon landing in the US any time through 2031

Sep 19, 12:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.02%chance

8292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

321

129

Conditional upon an invasion of Niger, will Nigerien President Mohamed Bazoum be restored to de facto control of Niger?

Aug 4, 11:09 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

33.49%chance

9267

OptionVotes

YES

NO

286

149

Will Once Upon A Time in Shaolin be publicly leaked by the end of 2027?

May 2, 5:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.41%chance

10137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Would Mary from Mary's Room have a new experience upon seeing color for the first time?

Oct 21, 12:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

89.13%chance

3134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

37

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