uprising News

Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?

Feb 14, 1:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

10.39%chance

12622502

OptionVotes

YES

2887

249

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Jul 26, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.96%chance

275407

OptionVotes

YES

4502

453

Republicans win democratically and then end democracy swiftly, satisfying militiants and quelling uprisings; civil war is avoided, but democracy becomes an empty shell and no part of the federal government regains democratic control by 2028

Nov 5, 3:19 PMJan 1, 7:00 AM

5.63%chance

172479

OptionVotes

YES

1097

962

Republicans win democratically and then end democracy swiftly, satisfying militiants and quelling uprisings; civil war is avoided, but democracy becomes an empty shell and no part of the federal government regains democratic control by 2028

Nov 4, 7:25 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.55%chance

202169

OptionVotes

YES

986

865

In 2026, what will Wikipedia say was the result of the October 2023 Gaza−Israel conflict

Oct 7, 8:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

391708

OptionProbability

Other

"Israeli Victory" (or a coalition including Israel)

A wall of text ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_War

"Inconclusive"

"______ treaty" ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_War

"Uprising suppressed" ala https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_Intifada

"Hamas Victory" (or a coalition including Hamas)

Will China collapse before 2030

Dec 16, 3:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.93%chance

211310

OptionVotes

YES

1484

905

Will a machine/ai uprising occur by 2044?

May 11, 11:04 AMJun 10, 8:59 PM

20.3%chance

271192

OptionVotes

YES

1074

957

Will any former or current US president openly support sedition before January 1st, 2030?

Mar 19, 4:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.3%chance

161101

OptionVotes

YES

1036

955

Will there be a robot uprising by 2035?

Dec 21, 10:57 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

9.51%chance

27848

OptionVotes

YES

1458

911

Will there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?

Aug 17, 3:18 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.42%chance

23749

OptionVotes

YES

1125

788

Will the Panguna Mine resume operations by 2028?

Apr 10, 2:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.6%chance

20453

OptionVotes

YES

1128

889

Will Ubisoft/Massive Entertainment's "The Division 3" have a subtitle? i.e. "The Division 3: Uprising"

May 25, 12:23 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.55%chance

3414

OptionVotes

YES

1376

727

uprising News

Prediction markets for uprising

Prediction markets for uprising

Prediction markets for uprising

Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Republicans win democratically and then end democracy swiftly, satisfying militiants and quelling uprisings; civil war is avoided, but democracy becomes an empty shell and no part of the federal government regains democratic control by 2028

Republicans win democratically and then end democracy swiftly, satisfying militiants and quelling uprisings; civil war is avoided, but democracy becomes an empty shell and no part of the federal government regains democratic control by 2028

In 2026, what will Wikipedia say was the result of the October 2023 Gaza−Israel conflict

Will China collapse before 2030

Will a machine/ai uprising occur by 2044?

Will any former or current US president openly support sedition before January 1st, 2030?

Will there be a robot uprising by 2035?

Will there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?

Will the Panguna Mine resume operations by 2028?

Will Ubisoft/Massive Entertainment's "The Division 3" have a subtitle? i.e. "The Division 3: Uprising"

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